23 Sep Premarket Prep GBPNZD 09232020
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This is my premarket prep for today’s European session for the Forex pair GBPNZD. This prep builds off of my weekly trade plan I made here:
The purpose of a premarket prep is to find setups within my weekly trade plan bias
Weekly goal
- Formulate hypos in order of likelihood and track with actual development on the day
Non-conjecture observations of the market
- Unclean arrival at D1-C‑S 1.91979, inside bar with long buying and selling wicks although buying slightly longer. Still a long way to go to take out D1 supply with high at 1.938.
- 2nd H4 Bear Engulf at H4-C‑S 1.92109 but no follow-through, possible phase 1
- Market Profile
- 2 days bracketing at the bottom of the range, yesterday above the brackets
- ADR: 1386
- ASR: 1459
- 365
- Day
- Yesterday’s High 1.92738
- Yesterday’s Low 1.91316
- Price within value
Compared against Weekly Trading Plan
- Trading slightly above W1 Demand
Sentiment
- Locations
- ADR 0.5 and exhaustion at yesterday’s high and LTF supply
- ADR exhaustion Low and 0.5 at D1-C‑D 1.91303
- Sentiment
- LN open
- Within value
- Open distance to value
- N.A.
- Sentiment
- Balanced market.
- LN open
- Clarity (1–5, 5 being best)
- 3
- Hypo 1 — Value Rejection Up Fake out
- ADR 0.5 at LTF supply
- Price action reversal, single print fade, failed auction,
- Hypo 2 — Responsive Activity
- Hypo 3 — Value Rejection Down Fake out
- Same as Hypo 1
- Hypo 4 Value Rejection up
- ADR exhaustion hit early on in the session, sustained auction.
Additional notes
- N.A.
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
- H4-C‑S 1.94717
- H4-C‑S 1.92109
- D1-C‑S 1.91979
ZOIs for Possible Long
- H4-C‑D 1.91561 BASE
- D1-C‑D 1.91303
- H4-C‑D 1.91053
Mindful Trading
- Feeling okay
Focus Points for trading development
- Weekly Goal
- Formulate hypos in order of likelihood and track with actual development on the day
- Incorporate profile day type
- Trading Rules
- If Open outside of value consider the placement in relation to ADR
- Risk Management
- 3 trades 1% risk, 3rd trade only if first 2 worked out
- OK to take 1R when in DD
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING
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