Premarket Prep GBPNZD 08122020 - Bear Market Trader
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Premarket Prep GBPNZD 08122020

Premarket Prep GBPNZD 08122020

#pre­mar­ket­prep #trad­ing­forex #forex #FX #day­trad­ing #trad­inglifestyle #day­trader­life #GBPNZD 

This is my pre­mar­ket prep for today’s Euro­pean ses­sion for the Forex pair GBPNZD. This prep builds off of my week­ly trade plan I made here:

The pur­pose of a pre­mar­ket prep is to find setups with­in my week­ly trade plan bias.

Non-con­jec­ture obser­va­tions of the market

  • Yes­ter­day closed high­er break­ing the phase 3 range albeit not strongly
  • D1 first touch of D1-C‑S 1.99731 (being very close to round num­ber of 2) today proved reactive
  • New demand H4-C‑D 1.97912 formed through H4 Bull Engulf fol­lowed by messy price action to say the least indi­cat­ing pos­si­ble phase 1 or 3 still, H4-C‑D 1.98387 RBR was formed in the move up
  • Mar­ket Profile
    • ADR exhaust­ed 90+%, 1268 out of 1326
    • M30 QHi lin­ing up with ADR 0.5
    • Price cur­rent­ly trad­ing above val­ue and range, will reassess at open
    • ASR
      • 1093

Com­pared against Week­ly Trad­ing Plan

  • Mid MN, W1, and D1 swing
  • W1 trad­ing above pre­vi­ous week’s body touch­ing VWAP
  • H4, D1 trend is up, W1 is down

Sen­ti­ment — Slight­ly Bull­ish to neutral

  • Sen­ti­ment is due to price being above value
  • How­ev­er an open above val­ue could still war­rant (due to over­head sup­ply, ADR exhaus­tion and pos­si­ble Phase 3 on medi­um time frames)
    • Exhaust­ed move into sup­ply, failed auc­tion, reversal
    • Val­ue acceptance
    • Return to val­ue with price action con­fir­ma­tion long

Addi­tion­al notes

  • An open above val­ue could warrant
    • Exhaust­ed move into sup­ply, failed auc­tion, reversal
    • Val­ue acceptance
    • Return to val­ue with price action con­fir­ma­tion long

ZOIs for Pos­si­ble Shorts

  • D1-C‑S 1.99731

ZOIs for Pos­si­ble Long

  • H4-C‑D 1.98387 RBR
  • H4-C‑D 1.97912

Mind­ful Trading

  • Slept okay

Focus Points for trad­ing development

  • Week­ly Goal
    • Align with mar­ket narrative
    • Tak­ing a trade is not a priority 
  • Risk Man­age­ment
    • 3 trades 1% risk
    • 2 con­sec­u­tive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING
T3chAddict
t3chaddict@bearmarkettrader.com

Day trader. Tech geek. Sim Racing Enthusiast.

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