25 Aug Premarket Prep DE30 DAX 08252020
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This is my premarket prep for today’s European session for DE30 DAX. This prep builds off of my weekly trade plan I made here:
The purpose of a premarket prep is to find setups within my weekly trade plan bias.
Non-conjecture observations of the market
- D1 bull engulf arriving at D1-C‑S 13131.34 within D1 QHi
- Market Profile
- LN open
- LN open above value, outside range
- Could mean a possible continuation since we are dealing with equities
- LN open above value, outside range
- ADR 19133
- ASR 18437
- D1-C‑S 13131.34 within QHi below ADR 0.5 (0.5xASR) at lower time frame supply
- LN open
Compared against Weekly Trading Plan
- Trading within W1 supply phase 3 range
- Within W1 QHi
Sentiment — Bearish
- Sentiment
- Price trading within QHi after an extensive UT nearing supply created at all-time high combined with current larger time frame supply created and price action hinting to a phase 3 would suggest a bearish sentiment. Equities being what they are going short proves more challenging. Furthermore, an open outside value and range might prove as momentum for a possible continuation.
- IB
- A closed as bull Engulf, B retraced almost entirely
- Sentiment: due to the nature of equities I am interested to see how price develops given the current conditions with yesterday having a big up-day, today opening above value outside range at ADR 0.5 I am leaning towards a mean reversion. C has already extended IB down but can’t call it a sustained auction just yet. Will monitor closely.
- Clarity (1–5, 5 being best)
- 3
- Hypo 1 — SHORT
- LN open above value, outside range
- D1-C‑S 13131.34 within QHi below ADR 0.5 (0.5xASR) at lower time frame supply, no retracement to yesterday’s move yet, mean reversion
- LN open above value, outside range
- Hypo 2 — SHORT
- LN open above value, outside range
- Value acceptance
- LN open above value, outside range
- Hypo 3 — LONG
- LN open above value, outside range
- Bounce off VAH (coinciding with M30 VWAP in UT, plus above VWAP and KC)
- LN open above value, outside range
Additional notes
- N.A.
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
- D1-C‑S 13131.34
ZOIs for Possible Long
- H1-C‑D 13041.72
Mindful Trading
- Slept okay, still sick
Focus Points for trading development
- Weekly Goal
- Formulate hypos in order of likelihood and track with actual development on the day
- Incorporate profile day type
- Trading Rules
- If Open outside of value consider the placement in relation to ADR
- Don’t take into consideration medium time frame c‑lines past 24 hours
- FX within value > DAX
- Risk Management
- 3 trades 1% risk, 3rd trade only if first 2 worked out
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING
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