23 Apr Premarket Prep Gold 20210423
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This is my premarket prep for today’s European session for GOLD. This prep builds off of my weekly trade plan I made here:
The purpose of a premarket prep is to find setups within my weekly trade plan bias
Weekly Focus Points
- Min. 3 times hitting the gym + mandatory cardio
- Only trade the main account
- Be mindful of DTTZs
- Only price-action based exit rules (or if hit time stop comes earlier)
- M15/M30 entries and exits at 1st DTTZ, M5 entries and exits at 2nd DTTZ
Compared against Weekly Trading Plan
- Slight reaction off W1 VWAP in DT but still trading above last week’s body and broke the range high
- Mid W1 swing
Non-conjecture observations of the market
- Price action
- D1 RBR to close above D1 UKC in DT followed by a Bearish Inside Bar trading within D1 QHi
- Price took out H4 supply and traded higher to H4-C‑S 1797 before reversing. Price is bouncing off H4 VWAP in UT through a Three Inside Up
- Trend: H4 up, D1 up, W1 up
- Prevailing trend: Trend is up
- Market Profile
- Flimsy 2 day overlapping values
- Daily Range
- ADR: 22293
- ASR: 15024
- 380
- Day
- Yesterday’s High 1797.790
- Yesterday’s Low 1777.320
Sentiment
- Locations
- H4-C‑S 1797 at ADR o.5 High
- Sentiment
- LN open
- Within Value
- Open distance to value
- N.A.
- Premarket
- H4 Bearish Inside Bar but above H4 VWAP in UT could still see some continuation higher as trend is up as well.
- Narrative
- Balancing market. ALthough price has consolidated around VAL and A closed with a bear engulf below value but there is no IB extension down (yet). Otherwise a balancing market play could be the play of the day.
- LN open
- Clarity (1–5, 5 being best)
- 3
- Hypo 1 — Value Rejection Down
- Narrative: Consolidation at VAL with possible strong finisher below value, possible H4 VWAP in UT BD
- Preferred: Value rejection confirmed through IB extension down, Sustained auction, could be low/medium activity day
- Con: Trading right into H4 demand in a larger time frame uptrend
- Hypo 2 — Balancing Market
- Narrative: open sentiment
- Preferred: play off nearby ADR 0.5 and exhaustion levels
- Con: Trend is up so longs are favored
Additional notes
- Capital preservation rule in effect
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
- H4-C‑S 1797
- H4-C‑S 1779.50
ZOIs for Possible Long
- H4-C‑D 1770
Mindful Trading (lack of sleep?)
- Feeling okay. Slept very long but nonetheless will take it easy today. Sleeping long after multiple days of sleeping too little doesn’t make up for it at once.
Focus Points for trading development
- Monthly Goals
- Continue tracking my DRC tracking sheet
- Focus on my own progress and less on others
- Feeling okay with NOT trading
- Have ‘quieter’ weekends
- Weekly Goal
- Min. 3 times hitting the gym
- Trading Rules
- Trade from D and upwards unless a possible momentum trade, value acceptance or otherwise.
- Risk Management
- 3 trades 1% risk, 3rd trade only if first 2 worked out
- Capital Preservation during drawdown allows for 1R profit-taking
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING
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