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This is my premarket prep for today’s European session for GOLD. This prep builds off of my weekly trade plan I made here:
The purpose of a premarket prep is to find setups within my weekly trade plan bias
Weekly Focus Points
- Min. 3 times hitting the gym + mandatory cardio
- Only trade the main account
- Be mindful of DTTZs
- Only price-action based exit rules (or if hit time stop comes earlier)
- M15/M30 entries and exits at 1st DTTZ, M5 entries and exits at 2nd DTTZ
Compared against Weekly Trading Plan
- Price trading at top of last week’s body
Non-conjecture observations of the market
- Price action
- Price hit D1-C‑D 1743 BASE level then tested D1 VWAP after BO to CAS after forming an Inside Bar at D1 50MA in DT within D1 supply
- H4 consolidation within H4 QHi edge
- Trend: H4 up, D1 up, W1 up
- Prevailing trend: Trend is up
- Market Profile
- 2‑day overlapping values
- Daily Range
- ADR: 21639
- ASR: 12530
- 315
- Day
- Yesterday’s High 1757.270
- Yesterday’s Low 1731.190
Sentiment
- Locations
- D1-C‑S 1743 Base level (coinciding with newly formed H4 supply) at VAL
- Sentiment
- LN open
- Below Value, Within Range
- Open distance to value
- 0.3xASR
- Premarket
- H4 closed as a hammer (although body closed above 50% mark of previous candle) closing at H4 QHi edge not rejecting it below.
- Narrative
- Moderate Imbalance. Possible H4 DBD in line with D1 Bearish Inside Bar returning to D1 base level. Although that Inside Bar had a long buying wick and thus buyers are still present (D1 VWAP in DT BO to possible CAS).
- LN open
- Clarity (1–5, 5 being best)
- 4
- Hypo 1 — Return to Value
- Narrative: Possible H4 DBD in line with D1 Bearish Inside Bar returning to D1 base level
- Preferred: Strong Bearish Price Action with IB extension down and sustained auction
- Con: W1/H4 demand below at H4 200MA in DT
- Hypo 2 — M30 Swing Reversal
- Narrative: variation to Hypo 1
- Preferred: IB extension down hitting H4/W1 demand. Strong Bullish price action reversal and failed auction.
- Con: N.A.
- Hypo 3 — Value Acceptance
- Narrative: Somewhat near value edge
- Preferred: Early acceptance and quick follow-through
- Con: LTF supplies and H4 supply above VAH
Additional notes
- Capital preservation rule in effect
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
- H4-C‑S 1751
ZOIs for Possible Long
- D1-C‑D 1743 BASE
- H4-C‑D 1732.717 / W1-C‑D 1730.366
Mindful Trading
- Feeling okay
Focus Points for trading development
- Monthly Goals
- Continue tracking my DRC tracking sheet
- Focus on my own progress and less on others
- Feeling okay with NOT trading
- Have ‘quieter’ weekends
- Weekly Goal
- Min. 3 times hitting the gym
- Trading Rules
- Trade from D and upwards unless a possible momentum trade, value acceptance or otherwise.
- Risk Management
- 3 trades 1% risk, 3rd trade only if first 2 worked out
- Capital Preservation during drawdown allows for 1R profit-taking
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING