17 Dec Premarket Prep GBPNZD 12172020
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This is my premarket prep for today’s European session for the Forex pair GBPNZD. This prep builds off of my weekly trade plan I made here:
The purpose of a premarket prep is to find setups within my weekly trade plan bias
Weekly Focus Points
- Don’t take trades where SL placement is suboptimal. Instead, reassess for a better entry if possible. Unless there is a momentum play.
Compared against Weekly Trading Plan
- Price trading within last week’s body testing W1-C‑S 1.89500 BASE (round number)
Non-conjecture observations of the market
- Price action
- Daily closed slightly higher (@VWAP) leaving a slightly longer selling wick behind.
- H4 Bear Engulf rejecting previous H4-C‑S 1.90471 (near round number) with consequent follow-through returning to H4-C‑D 1.89358 (and H4 VWAP in UT) with unclean arrival
- H4 closed as a consolidation premarket
- Market Profile
- 2nd day of a wide value area created, this time on top of Tuesday’s (Mon, Tue bracketing)
- ADR: 1639
- ASR: 1392
- 35
- Day
- Yesterday’s High 1.90923
- Yesterday’s Low 1.89106
Sentiment
- Locations
- H4-C‑D 1.89358 near VAL within range
- D1-C‑S 1.89847 within value at PPOC
- H4-C‑S 1.90471 at VAH
- ADR 0.5 Low at yesterday’s low (not session low)
- ADR 0.5 High above VAH and H4-C‑S 1.90471
- Sentiment
- LN open
- Within value
- Open distance to value
- N.A.
- Sentiment
- Balancing market
- LN open
- Clarity (1–5, 5 being best)
- 4
- Hypo 1 — Balancing market
- Play off nearby LTF SD ZOIs or ADR 0.5
- Hypo 2 — Value Rejection Down
- Preferred: Close below VAL and H4 QHi (preferably closing deep into H4 demand), IB extension down with sustained auction
- Con: H4 demand in the way
- Hypo 3 — Value Rejection Up (unlikely)
- Preferred: A close deep into overhead demand
Additional notes
- Brexit talks are still on
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
- D1-C‑S 1.89847 (near round number)
- H4-C‑S 1.90471 (near round number)
ZOIs for Possible Long
- H4-C‑D 1.89358
- H4-C‑D 1.87971
Mindful Trading
- Feeling okay but going through something personal. Might decide not to trade unless really clear on a possible setup.
Focus Points for trading development
- Monthly Goals
- Continue tracking my DRC tracking sheet
- Focus on my own progress and less on others
- Feeling okay with NOT trading
- Have ‘quieter’ weekends
- Weekly Goal
- Min. 3 times hitting the gym
- Trading Rules
- Trade from D and upwards unless a possible momentum trade, value acceptance or otherwise.
- Risk Management
- 3 trades 1% risk, 3rd trade only if first 2 worked out
- Capital Preservation during drawdown allows for 1R profit-taking
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING
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