22 Oct Premarket Prep GBPNZD 10222020
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This is my premarket prep for today’s European session for the Forex pair GBPNZD. This prep builds off of my weekly trade plan I made here:
The purpose of a premarket prep is to find setups within my weekly trade plan bias
Weekly Focus Points
- Only trade off M30/M15 for entries. M30, time-based, or look for exits after 2 hours (4 TPOs). Unless the entry is really late.
Compared against Weekly Trading Plan
- Price trading above MN C‑Sup after having been tested multiple times
- W1 is trading above last week’s range with 2 more days to go
Non-conjecture observations of the market
- Price action
- D1 Phase 2 trading high reached UKC nearing 200MA and initial reach for D1-C‑S 1.98108 proven reactive
- Large Bull Engulf giving H4-C‑D 1.96359 phase 2, although not the cleanest move but traded higher still until reacting off D1-C‑S 1.98108.
- Market Profile
- Yesterday open below value followed by VAA and slow grind higher
- ADR: 1324
- ASR: 1129
- 29
- Day
- Yesterday’s High 1.97615
- Yesterday’s Low 1.96144
- Currently above value, outside range
Sentiment
- Locations
- D1-C‑S 1.98108 at ADR 0.5 high
- ADR 0.5 Low and Exhaustion at VAL
- H4-C‑D 1.96359 below VAL
- H4-C‑S 1.97419 at
- Sentiment
- LN open
- Within value, right below VAH
- Open distance to value
- N.A.
- Sentiment
- Balancing market, however the move was initiated from higher up after D1 C‑Sup proved reactive. Plus nelly formed H4-C‑S 1.97419.
- LN open
- Clarity (1–5, 5 being best)
- 2
- Hypo 1 — Swing Reversal (long),
- H4 C‑Dem, VWAP, ADR 0.5 & exhaustion low
- Preferred: Strong Bullish PA
- Hypo 2 — Value Rejection Failure (long)
- Same as hypo 1
- Preferred: IB extension down , PA reversal, failed auction
Additional notes
- N.A.
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
- D1-C‑S 1.98108
ZOIs for Possible Long
- D1-C‑D 1.95422
- H4-C‑D 1.96000 BASE
Mindful Trading
- Feeling a bit tired
Focus Points for trading development
- Monthly Goals
- Continue tracking my DRC tracking sheet
- Focus on my own progress and less on others
- Feeling okay with NOT trading
- Have ‘quieter’ weekends
- Weekly Goal
- Min. 3 times hitting the gym
- Trading Rules
- Trade from D and upwards unless a possible momentum trade, value acceptance or otherwise.
- Risk Management
- 3 trades 1% risk, 3rd trade only if first 2 worked out
- Capital Preservation during drawdown allows for 1R profit-taking
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING
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