#premarketprep #tradingforex #forex #FX #daytrading #tradinglifestyle #daytraderlife #GBPNZD
This is my premarket prep for today’s European session for the Forex pair GBPNZD. This prep builds off of my weekly trade plan I made here:
The purpose of a premarket prep is to find setups within my weekly trade plan bias
Weekly goal
- Formulate hypos in order of likelihood and track with actual development on the day
Non-conjecture observations of the market
- D1 Phase 4, cross down from 50MA
- H4 Bear Engulf formed (H4-C‑S 1.96171) right on top of previous demand
- Mid D1/H4 Swing
- Market Profile
- ADR: 1204
- ASR: 970
- Day
- Yesterday’s High 1.96763
- Yesterday’s Low 1.95501
- Price within day range near day low
- Locations
- M30 VWAP in DT
- H4-C‑S 1.96171 near VAH at PPOC
Compared against Weekly Trading Plan
- Below last week’s range nearing W1 QLo
Sentiment
- Sentiment
- LN open
- Below Value, Outside range
- Open distance to value
- 0.5xASR
- Sentiment
- Price hit ADR exhaustion during IB. We could see a possible continuation since the open is only 0.5xASR away. I’ll stay open to that possibility though.
- LN open
- Clarity (1–5, 5 being best)
- 3
- Hypo 1 — Continuation (short)
- Prefered: IB extension down with sustained auction. Could be grounds for a momentum trade due to medium and larger time frame bearish sentiment.
- Hypo 2 — Mean Reversion
- Not too certain on this since LN opened moderately imbalance plus we hit ADR exhaustion during LN.
- Preferred: a strong M30 reversal pattern, IB extension up and sustained auction.
- Hypo 3 — Return to value (short)
- A possible return to value/range before rolling over to continue the direction down
- Prefered: Ib extension up, price action confirming a reversal followed by a failed auction.
- Hypo 4 — Mean Reversion
- Extension down hitting H4-C‑D 1.94804 being reactive with price action reversal, failed auction up, value acceptance
Additional notes
- N.A.
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
- H4-C‑S 1.96754
- H4-C‑S 1.96171
ZOIs for Possible Long
- H4-C‑D 1.96760
- H4-C‑D 1.96133
- H4-C‑D 1.94804
Mindful Trading
- A bit tired
Focus Points for trading development
- Weekly Goal
- Formulate hypos in order of likelihood and track with actual development on the day
- Incorporate profile day type
- Trading Rules
- If Open outside of value consider the placement in relation to ADR
- Don’t take into consideration medium time frame c‑lines past 24 hours
- FX within value > DAX
- Risk Management
- 3 trades 1% risk, 3rd trade only if first 2 worked out
- OK to take 1R when in DD
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING