16 Jun NY Premarket Prep WTI Crude 20210616
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This is my premarket prep for today’s NY session for WTI Crude. This prep builds off of my weekly trade plan I made here:
The purpose of a premarket prep is to find setups within my weekly trade plan bias
Compared against Weekly Trading Plan
- Price trading within pre-COVID MN supply
- Price trading above last week’s body and range nearing W1-C‑S 73.340
Non-conjecture observations of the market
- Price action
- H4 Bearish Inside Bar transition to H4 Three Inside Down giving H4-C‑S 72.517right above NY open
- Trend: H4 Up, D1 Up, W1 Up
- Prevailing trend:
- Market Profile
- Flimsy upsloping bracket
- Daily Range
- ADR: 1268
- ASR: 1095
- 27
- Day
- Yesterday’s High 72.483
- Yesterday’s Low 70.801
Sentiment
- NY open
- Above Value, slightly Outside Range
- Open distance to value
- 0.26xASR
- Narrative
- Slight gap up coming from a H4 Three Inside Down. Possibility for a VAA.
- Clarity (1–5, 5 being best)
- 3
- Hypo 1
- Value Acceptance, early acceptance and quick follow-through
- Hypo 2
- Return to Value, VAH Reversal
- Hypo 3
- Failed Auction Long after value rotation
- Hypo 4
- Sustained Auction Up, possible late-sustained auction entry
- Hypo 5
- Sustained Auction Down possible target H4 demand
- Hypo 6
- Auction Fade to hypo 4
Additional notes
- Capital Preservation Rule in effect
- EIA Inventories
- Fed interest rate
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
- W1-C‑S 73.340
- D1-C‑S 71.500
ZOIs for Possible Long
- H4-C‑D 71.037
- D1-C‑D 70
Mindful Trading (lack of sleep?)
- Feeling okay
Focus Points for trading development
- Monthly Goals
- No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
- Total of 13 trades by the end of the month
- Weekly Goal
- Min. 3 times working out at home + mandatory cardio
- Use SL scaling in case the profit target for the setup doesn’t provide 2R for example for FA or VAA setups
- Risk Management
- Without forcing a trade: aim to take 1 trade a day, if possible 2.
- Capital Preservation during drawdown allows for 1R profit-taking
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING
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