21 Jun How did I trade today? 20210621
Summary: Stick to your plan
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Every trading day I recap my trades, including more than entries and exits. Why did I take the trade? How did I manage the trade, my emotions and cognitive function? All the good stuff as well as all the ugly of being a day trader. As always, feel free to reach out to me.
Good Pre-market routines
Good Session PECS
Good Trade selection
Good Trade sizing or SL placement
Good Trade Execution & Mgmt.
Good Risk Adjusted Returns
Yes Daily review
Muppet meter (1 being best — 5 being worst): 1
Summary — London
- DAX
- 1st DTTZ
- IB traversed higher 1.31xASR. This could be a developing H4 Three Outside Up. With an extension above IB but wide IBR there could be a test of newly formed M30 C‑dem that could be a pullback entry into the developing H4 PA.
- C extended above but then closed within IB as a spinning top.
- 2nd DTTZ
- 1st DTTZ
- GOLD
- 1st DTTZ
- IB traversed 0.35xASR. B closed as a slight Bull Engulf, possibly a consolidation. Price extended above IB in C closed above IB in a sustained auction below H4 c‑sup.
- D made HH and closed above C’s range. Looking like a low/medium initiative sustained auction up.
- 2nd DTTZ
- F made a HH but then closed down, I was considering an entry off M15 Bear Engulf but after a HH was made I let the trade go.
- 1st DTTZ
Summary — New York
- GOLD
- 1st DTTZ
- B closed as a Bull Engulf above VAH but no extension yet. C closed as a Consolidation.
- Neutral Day formed
- 1st DTTZ
- WTI Crude
- 1st DTTZ
- A closed within value accepting value rotating through. IB traversed 0.7xASR.
- M15 Bear Engulf although not much of a TPO structure yet. Waiting for another TPO to see what happens.
- Next TPO closed somewhat bullish with M15 Bull Engulf and continuation.
- 1st DTTZ
DAX — London
- Which hypo played out and how did I hypothesize it playing out? How did it actually play out? What did the profile and price action show?
- Hypo 1
- Mean Reversion, Sustained Auction up
- 100% correct
What happened around the 1st DTTZ? Which Hypo played out (if any)?
IB extended above IB, after traversing 1.31xASR, then proceeded in a sustained auction up.
What happened around the 2nd DTTZ? Which Hypo played out (if any)?
Sustained auction continued.
What was the play of the day?
Mean Reversion, Sustained Auction
Was I right on the outcome? Which Hypo played out and why was it not Hypo 1 (if any)?
Yes, I was
Was there an opportunity and did I take it?
There but I did not take it. I decided that based on the huge IBR it was not wise to go in off an extension. With a standard size SL this would have gotten stopped out as well. A better Entry would have been off D closing above. This, combined with a previous big down candle and the expectancy for it to get retraced, as well as equities upward bias, trend is up 3/3, the sentiment was for more upwards pressure.
What could I have done better?
I did not know about these conditions and thought I did well to stay out.
How did I feel before, during, and after the trade?
No trade taken.
GOLD — London
- Which hypo played out and how did I hypothesize it playing out? How did it actually play out? What did the profile and price action show?
- No hypo played out. There was a sustained auction up.
What happened around the 1st DTTZ? Which Hypo played out (if any)?
C TPO extended above IB and continued higher
What happened around the 2nd DTTZ? Which Hypo played out (if any)?
Then started consolidating but not breaking the TPO structure even though M30 closed down it also made a HH in F which made me reconsider a short.
What was the play of the day?
Sustained Auction Up.
Was I right on the outcome? Which Hypo played out and why was it not Hypo 1 (if any)?
No, I was not. There was a sustained auction up. I did not want to include this as the trend was down 2/3. Plus not much room to move to VAL as well as open sentiment was within range.
Was there an opportunity and did I take it?
Not according to my current trading rules.
What could I have done better?
I think I did well to stay out based on the open sentiment and trend being down.
How did I feel before, during, and after the trade?
No trade taken.
WTI Crude — New York
- Which hypo played out and how did I hypothesize it playing out? How did it actually play out? What did the profile and price action show?
- Hypo 1
- Value Acceptance, early acceptance and follow-through although supply within value
What happened around the 1st DTTZ? Which Hypo played out (if any)?
Price accepted value and rotated through then extended up and continued in a sustained auction.
What was the play of the day?
Value Acceptance, Sustained Auction
Was I right on the outcome? Which Hypo played out and why was it not Hypo 1 (if any)?
Yes I was
Was there an opportunity and did I take it?
I considered a Short but waited for more confluence. Which did not come.
What could I have done better?
I did well to go through OODA loops.
How did I feel before, during, and after the trade?
No trades taken.
How well did I manage my physical, emotional and cognitive states?
I did well during NY although was quite anxious during London.
What did I learn today?
I learned that I should stick to my own plan.
What’s one (or more) thing(s) I need to do more often?
Visualize what I want to see before acting.
What’s one (or more) thing(s) I need to do less often?
Worry about taking trades.
Under the circumstances, did I perform at my best?
I did well.
For my trade plan(s) on this particular day, go here:
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