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This is my weekly outlook on GOLD. Basically the levels that I will be looking at where it has a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, please get in touch with me. I love to talk to people that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out.
Monthly — Bearish
- Month closed down taking out demand forming a Three Outside Down giving MN-C‑S 1848.392
Weekly — Slightly Bearish
- After VW VWAP in UT break down and CAR price (through DBD) arrived clean at W1-C‑D 1730 (coinciding with W1 LKC in UT)
- Break below W1 50MA through DBD with a near-test of Base level before continuing down
- Mid W1 Swing
Daily — Slightly Bearish
- D1-C‑S 1806 was created at D1 VWAP in DT before making a wider swing down to W1-C‑D 1730
- Mid D1 Swing
Sentiment summary — Slightly Bearish
- Even though we did take out a Monthly demand area we also arrived at a W1 demand level so we can expect some push back. The arrival coinciding with W1 LKC in UT backs up this thesis unless we can break below taking out demand at W1 Demand End 1671.50.
Additional notes
- Non-farm on Friday
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
- MN-C‑S 1848.392
- D1-C‑S 1806
ZOIs for Possible Long
- W1-C‑D 1730
Focus Points for trading development
- Monthly Goals
- Continue tracking my DRC tracking sheet
- Focus on my own progress and less on others
- Take a break from certain components of social media
- Feeling okay with NOT trading
- Have ‘quieter’ weekends
- Weekly Goal
- Min. 3 times hitting the gym + mandatory cardio
- Trading Rules
- Trade from D and upwards unless a possible momentum trade, value acceptance or otherwise.
- Risk Management
- 3 trades 1% risk, 3rd trade only if first 2 worked out
- Capital Preservation during drawdown allows for 1R profit-taking
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING