12 Dec Gold Week 51 Trading Plan
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This is my weekly outlook on GOLD. Basically the levels that I will be looking at where it has a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and market profile. I hope that makes sense. If not, please get in touch with me. I love to talk to people that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out.
Monthly — Bearish
- Developing possible Inside Bar (having reacted off MN-C‑S 1877.471 BASE) although still about 3 weeks left in the month
Weekly — Neutral
- Last week closed as an Inside Bar with long selling wick (reacting off W1-C‑S 1888.729) after the previous bar reacted to W1 50MA and closed as an Inside Bar retracing more than 50%
- Price below VWAP in UT
Daily — Neutral
- Price returned to D1-C-D1839.702 BASE and consolidating within demand after having formed a Bear Engulf giving D1-C‑S 1863.817
- Mid D1 swing
H4 — Neutral
- Possible Phase 1 forming a H4 Bull Engulf giving H4-C‑D 1834.021 closing within overhead supply halting at H4 VWAP followed by an Inside Bar. No follow-through.
Market Profile — Balancing
- 2 day bracketing range
Sentiment summary — Neutral
- With price having retraced to a D1 Base level I am more inclined for more selling pressure coming in. Although due to the large Bear Engulf and no follow-through we could see a move up perhaps retesting the D1 C‑Sup on the short, medium term. A move below 1821 could warrant a continued move down to 1786 with a ‘stop’ at 1808 on the longer term.
Additional notes
- N.A.
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
- MN-C‑S 1877.471 BASE
- D1-C‑S 1863.817
ZOIs for Possible Long
- D1-C-D1839.702 BASE
- H4-C‑D 1834.021
- D1-C‑D 1786.586
Focus Points for trading development
- Monthly Goals
- Continue tracking my DRC tracking sheet
- Focus on my own progress and less on others
- Feeling okay with NOT trading
- Have ‘quieter’ weekends
- Weekly Goal
- Min. 3 times hitting the gym + mandatory cardio
- Trading Rules
- Trade from D and upwards unless a possible momentum trade, value acceptance or otherwise.
- Risk Management
- 3 trades 1% risk, 3rd trade only if first 2 worked out
- Capital Preservation during drawdown allows for 1R profit-taking
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING
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