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This is my weekly outlook on GOLD. The levels that I will be looking at with a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, please get in touch with me. I love to talk to people that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out.
Monthly — Slightly Bullish
- Price traded higher (and closed on its high) from the Bull Engulf in April arriving at MN QHi
- No arrival at MN-C‑S 1965.700 yet
Weekly — Slightly Bullish
- W1 Phase 2 arriving within W1 QHi and W1-C‑S 1890.750 with last week trading higher
Daily — Slightly Bullish
- Price arrived at D1 QHI and started consolidating then closing higher giving D1-C‑D 1897 (at D1 QHi) although high in distribution curve
Sentiment summary — Slightly Bullish
- Price has reached MN/W1/D1 QHi but has not shown any reversal pattern (yet)
- Trading higher into W1 supply is risky
- If price can close below /W1 QHi and take out D1 demand it could be the end of the uptrend
Additional notes
- Nonfarm Friday
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
- MN-C‑S 1965.700
- W1-C‑S 1890.750
ZOIs for Possible Long
- D1-C‑D 1897
Focus Points for trading development
- Monthly Goals
- No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
- Feeling okay with NOT trading
- Have ‘quieter’ weekends
- Weekly Goal
- Min. 3 times hitting the gym + mandatory cardio
- Aim to have a minimum of ONE TRADE per trading day
- Trading Rules
- Be mindful of DTTZs
- Only price-action based exit rules (or hit time stop)
- IF NOT… I will do a Bart Simpsons exercise of 7 days, 50 sentences of: “I will trust my trading skills and take my exits accordingly”.
- M15/M30 combination at 1st DTTZ, M5 entries and exits at 2nd DTTZ
- Trade from D and upwards unless a possible momentum trade, value acceptance or otherwise.
- Risk Management
- At least 1 trade with 1% risk, 2nd trade only if first one worked out
- Capital Preservation during drawdown allows for 1R profit-taking
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING