#Fintwit #XAUUSD #GOLD #MarketProfile #Orderflow #TradingPlan
This is my weekly outlook on GOLD. The levels that I will be looking at with a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, get in touch with me.
Monthly — Bullish
- MN Bull Engulf at MN 50MA in UT giving MN-C‑D 1664.995 just above MN QLo (no touch)
- Price currently trading above body, outside range, testing MN VWAP
- Conjecture: After a formation of a Bull Engulf there might be a retracement to newly formed MN demand (2nd Chance entry move)
- MN VWAP could turn into a CAR as price did initially close below previous range low and failed to test MN QLo
- Price closed back within overall range and could see the overall range stay intact for now
Weekly — Neutral
- Price formed a Weak Bull Engulf giving W1-C‑D 1795.517 HiDC leaving a longer selling wick testing Wide W1 QHi
- Price trading below Wide W1 QHi, below W1 50MA
- Conjecture: Long wicks indicating some balancing going on
- Price probed Wide W1 QHi but did not form a confirmed rejection of the level and could see a move higher first.
- Wide W1 QHi could indicate a continuation higher
- W1 Demand HiDC could get taken out
Daily — Neutral
- Possible D1 Phase 1 / 3
- Multiple tests and rejections of Wide W1/D1 QHi (as well as D1 Supply) with no continuation as price failed to close below D1 VWAP in UT and is making HLs
- Conjecture: Price showed multiple momentum formations rejecting W1/D1 QHi but failing to push through indicating some accumulation/distribution going on. Price needs to break from range before a directional cue can be given.
Sentiment summary — Neutral
Additional notes
- N.A.
Focus Points for trading development
- Monthly Goals
- Use SL scaling
- 1st DTTZ Gold
- 2nd DTTZ DAX