17 Dec Gold 2022 Week 51 Trading Plan
#Fintwit #XAUUSD #GOLD #MarketProfile #Orderflow #TradingPlan
This is my weekly outlook on GOLD. The levels that I will be looking at with a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, get in touch with me.
Monthly — Bullish
- MN Bull Engulf at MN 50MA in UT giving MN-C‑D 1664.995 just above MN QLo (no touch)
- Price currently trading above body, outside range, testing MN VWAP
- Conjecture: After a formation of a Bull Engulf there might be a retracement to newly formed MN demand (2nd Chance entry move)
- MN VWAP could turn into a CAR as price did initially close below previous range low and failed to test MN QLo
- Price closed back within overall range and could see the overall range stay intact for now
Weekly — Neutral
- Price made a HH but then closed slightly lower leaving a slightly longer selling wick reacting off Wide W1 QHi
- Price trading at W1 50MA
- Conjecture: Price had its first touch of W1 QHi and started reacting leaving a longer selling wick indicating sellers coming in. However price did not close confidently lower as it left a long buying wick and could be a mere speedbump. With a Wide QHi price could probe deeper within QHi.
- If price retraces to W1-C‑D 1754.457 price could see a continuation. However, with W1 VWAP creeping below there might be some more buyers coming in.
Daily — Neutral
- Possible D1 Phase 1 / 3
- D1 Bullish Inside Bar at D1 VWAP in UT after a D1 Three Inside Down rejected Wide W1/D1 QHi giving D1-C‑S 1807.532 Momentum
- Price trading around Round. No. 1800
- Conjecture: Price failed to follow-through on the D1 Three Inside Down and instead formed a Bullish Inside Bar (possible profit-taking).
- If price retraces to D1-C‑S 1807.532 Momentum, price could see a continuation higher forming a D1 Three Inside Up.
- D1 VWAP in UT hitting an apex with D1 200MA in DT could see a Break Out/Down
Sentiment summary — Neutral
Additional notes
- N.A.
Focus Points for trading development
- Monthly Goals
- Use SL scaling
- 1st DTTZ Gold
- 2nd DTTZ DAX
juan l.
Posted at 17:07h, 18 DecemberGood weekend Sir, Are you watching the FIFA world cup ? I would but trading is consuming me right now
I’m pretty happy, because i did my weekly trading trading plan before looking at yours and its kind of similar.
1. On the daily chart, the three inside down that rejected W/Qhi, isn’t more of an evening star since the close of the second candle
isn’t more than 50% ?
2. Do you account for the Quarterly Supply Zone that is currently being rejected ? I don’t see that in your analysis.
3. Did you notice the possible monthly distribution ? or what do you see ?
cheers
T3chAddict
Posted at 08:45h, 19 DecemberI did not follow much of it. I watched a few games. I did watch the final last night. What a game. Hence I won’t be trading today 🙂
1. Preferably you want the second candle to be a Bullish/Bearish Inside Bar ie.. over the 50% mark of the precedign candle but you can’t always get that.
2. I do not
3. What do you mean by monthly distribution? I wrote down what I saw.
juan l.
Posted at 09:49h, 19 December3. Phase 3 on a monthly chart
T3chAddict
Posted at 10:04h, 19 Decemberyes. I wrote down “Price closed back within overall range and could see the overall range stay intact for now”. Having said that the last 3–5 candles are usually the most important in terms of price action. Unless price is hitting a SD zone.