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This is my weekly outlook on GOLD. The levels that I will be looking at with a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, get in touch with me. I love to talk to people that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out.
Monthly — Bullish
- Price made a HH and closed within MN QHi as an Inverted Hammer leaving a long selling wick reacting off and closing below MN-C‑S 1965.163
Weekly — Bearish
- W1 Evening Star rejecting W1 QHi
- No continuation instead a consolidation
- Possible Phase 1 / 3
Daily — Neutral
- D1 QHi rejected
- Possible D1 Phase 1 / 3
Sentiment summary — Neutral
- MN Inverted Hammer could see a continuation higher. Although selling wick could see sellers coming in.
- W1 Consolidation after QHi rejection, possible phase 3 but would need a break from range. Bottom of the range could be good for longs and vice versa.
- D1 showing possible Phase 1 / 3, although coming from D1 QHi rejection. Price would need to break below/above the range
Additional notes
- Blackswan event
- Had a long weekend off
- April 14th, metals and indices market closed (not relevant for this week)
Focus Points for trading development
- Monthly Goals
- No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
- No early exits, either hit SL or target
- Use SL scaling in case the profit target for the setup doesn’t provide 2R for example for FA or VAA setups
- Risk Management
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING