21 Sep Gold 2021 Week 38 Trading Plan
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This is my weekly outlook on GOLD. The levels that I will be looking at with a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, please get in touch with me. I love to talk to people that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out.
Monthly — Bearish
- Price formed a Bear Engulf (although to me it is more of a consolidation) back in June rejecting MN QHi with no follow-through. Instead price has been trading within the supply (MN-C‑S 1768.539) it had formed with last month closing as a DragonFly Doji reacting off MN-D‑C 1739.674 (coinciding with MN VWAP in UT TC). To which price is currently trading below as well as just ducking below MN supply (coinciding with MN VWAP in UT)
Weekly — Bearish
- W1 QHi rejected followed by W1 Bear Engulf with continuation arriving at W1 QLo
Daily — Bearish
- D1 Three Inside Down rejecting D1 QHi with price currently trading mid-swing
- D1 Morning Star formed giving D1-C‑D 1754.268 below D1 LKC above MN-C‑D 1739.674
Sentiment summary — Bearish
- MN price is trading below MN supply and reached MN-C‑D 1739.674 (coinciding with MN VWAP in UT).
- W1 failed to take out W1 supply and continued down trading still above W1 QLo, MN and W1 demand
- D1 reacted slightly after reaching MN demand through a Morning Star. If price fails to close lower there might be a slight pullback first before continuing down
Additional notes
- Sep 23, 02:00, USD, Fed Interest Rate Decision
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
- W1-C‑S 1807.592
- D1-C‑S 1794.187
- MN-C‑S 1768.539
ZOIs for Possible Long
- D1-C‑D 1754.268
- MN-D‑C 1739.674
Focus Points for trading development
- Monthly Goals
- No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
- Total of 20 trades by the end of the month, preferably 2 a day (not in the same product at the same time)
- Weekly Goal
- Use SL scaling in case the profit target for the setup doesn’t provide 2R for example for FA or VAA setups
- No early exits, either hit SL or 2R target, latest cut-off 1:30 London time
- Risk Management
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING
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