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This is my weekly outlook on GOLD. The levels that I will be looking at with a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, please get in touch with me. I love to talk to people that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out.
Monthly — Bearish
- MN QHi rejected multiple times
- Last month closed within MN consolidation although closed below 50% mark
- Price reacted off MN-C‑S 1813.276 and is trading below last month’s body and range
Weekly — Bearish
- W1 consolidation and Bear Engulf finisher at MN-C‑S 1813.276 with price closing within W1-C‑D 1781.434
- Price trading mid W1 swing after QHi rejection with no arrival at QLo (yet)
Daily — Bearish
- D1 DBD and follow-through arriving and closing within D1-C‑D 1769.224
- D1 Phase 4
- Price trading within D1 QLo
Sentiment summary — Bearish
- Price made a low below last month’s body and range
- W1 showed a strong finisher from consolidation closing within W1 demand
- D1 extended on higher momentum closing lower
Additional notes
- N.A.
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
- W1-C‑S 1888.863
- D1-C‑S 1826.301
- MN-C‑S 1813.276
ZOIs for Possible Long
- W1-C‑D 1781.434
- D1-C‑D 1769.224
Focus Points for trading development
- Monthly Goals
- No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
- Total of 13 trades by the end of the month
- Weekly Goal
- Weekly Focus Points
- Min. 3 times working out at home + mandatory cardio
- Trading rules
- Focus on taking ONE trade a day. If I missed the first DTTZ then a trade needs to be taken on the 2nd DTTZ unless there is a high/medium initiative activity day.
- Only price-action based exit rules (or if hit time stop comes earlier)
- M15/M30 entries and exits at 1st DTTZ, M5 entries and exits at 2nd DTTZ
- Buffer trades (profit target >1R) are allowed and encouraged
- Use SL scaling in case the profit target for the setup doesn’t provide 2R for example for FA or VAA setups
- No social media / messenger apps / phone calls allowed during the trading window
- Weekly Focus Points
- Risk Management
- Without forcing a trade: aim to take 1 trade a day, if possible 2.
- Capital Preservation during drawdown allows for 1R profit-taking
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING