21 Jun Gold 2021 Week 25 Trading Plan
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This is my weekly outlook on GOLD. The levels that I will be looking at with a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, please get in touch with me. I love to talk to people that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out.
Monthly — Slightly Bullish
- Price traded higher (and closed on its high) from the Bull Engulf in April arriving at MN QHi
- Currently retraced all off last month’s bar but no close yet nearing MN-C‑D 1741.655
Weekly — Slightly Bearish
- Continuation to the W1 Three Outside Down with arrival at W1-C‑D 1774.420 with no reaction yet. W1 Demand End 1756.347 still intact.
- Price trading at W1 LKC in UT but no arrival at W1 QLo (yet)
Daily — Bearish
- D1 Phase 4 with price having arrived at W1-C‑D 1774.420
- Price has not reached D1 QLo (yet)
Sentiment summary — Slightly Bearish
- Price retraced all of last month’s range and is nearing MN-C‑D 1741.655
- Price has rejected D1/W1 QHi and traded down with no arrival at QLo yet
- D1 Phase 4 arrived D1 demand with no reaction
Additional notes
- June 21st
- ECB’s President Lagarde speech
- June 23rd
- ECB’s Schnabel speech
- ECB’s De Guindos speech
- EUR — Markit PMI Composite
- GBP — Markit Services PMI
- USD — EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change
- USD — Fed’s Bowman speech
- USD — Markit Manufacturing PMI
- June 24th
- ECB’s President Lagarde speech
- EUR — European Council Meeting
- GBP — BoE Interest Rate Decision
- USD — Initial Jobless Claims
- EUR — ECB’s Schnabel speech
- June 25th
- EUR — European Council Meeting
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
- H4-C‑S 1818.254 BASE
ZOIs for Possible Long
- W1-C‑D 1774.420
- D1-C‑D 1741.655
- W1-C‑D 1730.136
Focus Points for trading development
- Monthly Goals
- No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
- Total of 13 trades by the end of the month
- Weekly Goal
- Weekly Focus Points
- Min. 3 times working out at home + mandatory cardio
- Trading rules
- Focus on taking ONE trade a day. If I missed the first DTTZ then a trade needs to be taken on the 2nd DTTZ unless there is a high/medium initiative activity day.
- Only price-action based exit rules (or if hit time stop comes earlier)
- M15/M30 entries and exits at 1st DTTZ, M5 entries and exits at 2nd DTTZ
- Buffer trades (profit target >1R) are allowed and encouraged
- Use SL scaling in case the profit target for the setup doesn’t provide 2R for example for FA or VAA setups
- No social media / messenger apps / phone calls allowed during the trading window
- Weekly Focus Points
- Risk Management
- Without forcing a trade: aim to take 1 trade a day, if possible 2.
- Capital Preservation during drawdown allows for 1R profit-taking
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING
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