13 Feb GBPNZD Week 7 Trading Plan
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This is my weekly outlook on the Forex pair GBPNZD. Basically the levels that I will be looking at where it has a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, please get in touch with me. I love to talk to people that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out.
Monthly — Slightly Bullish
- Last month completed a Morning Star with a long buying wick although not closing far above MN-C‑D 1.89745
- Currently price has traded below, testing, and is trading above last month’s body
Weekly — Bullish
- W1 consolidation ending with a Bull Engulf finisher taking out W1-C‑S 1.92156 closing above W1 QLo (although not the strongest rejection at the moment)
Daily — Slightly Bullish
- D1-C‑S 1.91538 has been tested numerous times although right above it we have D1 200MA coinciding with D1-C‑S 1.92939
- D1 RBR closing above W1 QLo with 2 tests of D1 QHi
H4 — Slightly Bullish
- Price trading within H4 QHi with two tests off old supply H4-C‑S 1.92348
Sentiment summary — Slightly Bullish
- Due to W1 Bull Engulf finisher (as well as MN sentiment) combined with D1 testing of overhead supply numerous times we could see a continuation higher. Some congestion on D1 supplies are still in the way although higher timeframe is more likely to prevail and thus I expect these to get taken out. Along these lines we could then also potentially see a D1 200MA break out as it is flattening right now and taking out of overhead supply would mean closing well above the 200MA. Longs are favored more than shorts (riskier). A con to the thesis is the arrival at D1 QHi, but due to a rejection (could be stronger) of W1 QLo we could disregard the D1 QHi although we might see some pushback around these levels also identified through the supplies mentioned earlier.
Additional notes
- N.A.
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
- D1-C‑S 1.92939
- H4-C‑S 1.92348
- D1-C‑S 1.91538
ZOIs for Possible Long
- D1-C‑D 1.90495
- D1-C‑D 1.89878
- MN-C‑D 1.89745
Focus Points for trading development
- Monthly Goals
- Continue tracking my DRC tracking sheet
- Focus on my own progress and less on others
- Feeling okay with NOT trading
- Have ‘quieter’ weekends
- Weekly Goal
- Min. 3 times hitting the gym + mandatory cardio
- Trading Rules
- Trade from D and upwards unless a possible momentum trade, value acceptance or otherwise.
- Risk Management
- 3 trades 1% risk, 3rd trade only if first 2 worked out
- Capital Preservation during drawdown allows for 1R profit-taking
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING
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