04 Jul GBPNZD — Week 28 Trading Plan
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This is my weekly outlook on the Forex pair GBPNZD. Basically the levels that I will be looking at where it has a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and market profile. I hope that makes sense. If not, please get in touch with me. I love to talk to people that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out.
Monthly — Bearish
- Last month price closed well below VWAP and is nearing MN-C‑D 1.89650 just above Q1 QLo although in the middle of MN1 swing
Weekly — Bearish
- Last week closed on its low below LKC
- No weekly demand ZOIs until W1-C‑D 1.85887
Daily — Bearish
- Continuous down trend staying below VWAP. Swing becoming slightly more frequent
- Friday closed on its low within D1 demand (D1-C‑D 1.91314) after having formed a bear engulf D1-C‑S 1.92077
H4 — Bearish
- Ladder down then consolidation with strong finisher down (creating H4-C‑S 1.90879 Consolidation + BD) that went up and tested H4-C‑S 1.91441 and created a strong selling wick. Again, closed on its low.
Market Profile — Bearish
- Friday opened below bracketing range, tested and rejected it
Sentiment summary — Bearish
- All time frames indicating sellers in charge, however have to be careful due to large time frame demand and Q point. For the time being the sentiment is bearish further enhanced by market initially balancing and then proceeding to break down and retest previous balancing range.
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
- H4-C‑S 1.91441
- D1-C‑S 1.92077
- D1-C‑S 1.93071
- D1-C‑S 1.95234
ZOIs for Possible Long
- D1-C‑D 1.91314
- MN-C‑D 1.89650
- W1-C‑D 1.85887
Focus Points for trading development
- Weekly Goal
- Correct position sizing
- Risk Management
- Only take 2 trades a day but only have 1 active trade on between the assets
- Trading Priority
- FX pair outside value
- FX pair inside > Gold
- 2+R profit during LN consider trading PNYC
- After 4 losing trades reduce TP to 1.5R but after 1R can consider taking profits
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING
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