27 Jun GBPNZD — Week 27 Trading Plan
This is my weekly outlook on the Forex pair GBPNZD. Basically the levels that I will be looking at where it has a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and market profile. I hope that makes sense. If not, please get in touch with me. I love to talk to people that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out.
Monthly — Bearish
- After a continued drop, price reaching for MN-C‑D 1.89592 just above Q1 QLo. However, still have 2 trading days left in the month.
- Still mid-swing to MN1 QLo
Weekly — Slightly Bearish
- Fading momentum in the move down (also consider now being summer months). Price has reached W1 QLo with no attempt below (yet)
- Last week’s price did close down
- No weekly demand until W1-C‑D 1.85901
Daily — Slightly Bearish
- Continued supplies created and price below VWAP and LKC
- VWAP still being rejected with supply D1-C‑S 1.95250 and then again with D1-C‑S 1.93079 NEW.
- Price is getting closer to VWAP
- Newly formed demand D1-C‑D 1.92689 NEW and Friday closed well within it after bouncing off D1 QLo initially with a weaker inside bar
H4 — Slightly Bearish
- No reaction to H4 QLO and price trader lower although fading in size
- No demand between price and H4-C‑D 1.91438
Market Profile
- In downtrend for now
Sentiment summary — Slightly Bearish
- Due to new supplies being created and rejecting D1 VWAP I am still bearish on the pair. Cons are D1/W1 QLo as well as W1 Being overextended from VWAP.
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
- D1-C‑S 1.95250
- D1-C‑S 1.93079 NEW
- H4-C‑S 1.93553
ZOIs for Possible Long
- MN-C‑D 1.8959
- W1-C‑D 1.85901
- D1-C‑D 1.92689 NEW
- H4-C‑D 1.91438
Focus Points for trading development
- Risk Management
- Only take 2 trades a day but only have 1 active trade on between the assets
- Trading Priority
- FX pair outside value
- FX pair inside > Gold
- 2+R profit during LN consider trading PNYC
- After 4 losing trades reduce TP to 1.5R but after 1R can consider taking profits
No Comments