20 Mar GBPNZD Week 12 Trading Plan
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This is my weekly outlook on GBPNZD. The levels that I will be looking at with a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, please get in touch with me. I love to talk to people that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out.
Monthly — Slightly Bullish
- Slight continuation traded higher away from MN-C‑D 1.89719 although closing with a selling wick (buying wick slightly longer) indicating some sellers are still present
- Price currently trading above last month’s body close nearing MN-C‑S 1.95078 BASE level although no touch (yet)
Weekly — Slightly Bullish
- Last week closed as an Inside Bar (reacting off W1 50MA in DT) that retraced to 50% mark although leaving behind a longer buying wick.
Daily — Neutral
- D1 Phase 1 / 3
- Price retraced and closed as a Bearish Inside Bar to newly formed D1-C‑D 1.93214 that was formed through Bull Engulf
- Price flat around D1 200MA closing above
Sentiment summary — Slightly Bullish
- Due to larger time frame bullish sentiment we could see more upside. Although W1 has printed an Inside Bar it did print with a long buying wick. The daily is showing contradictory price action in line with Phase 1 or 3. This could also be due to price trading around D1 200MA in R which is a significant level due to the multitude of eyes on it. Price has closed above after a rejection much earlier of W1 QLo and price is currently trading within D1 QHi although D1 supply is still intact. Unless price can take out D1 demand and close below D1 QHi price could set up for a bearish close on the Weekly. Until such time the nod is still towards a bullish sentiment.
Additional notes
- N.A.
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
- MN-C‑S 1.95078 BASE
- W1-C‑S 1.95442
- D1-C‑S 1.92964
ZOIs for Possible Long
- W1-C‑D 1.90000
- MN-C‑D 1.89719
Focus Points for trading development
- Monthly Goals
- No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
- Continue tracking my DRC tracking sheet
- Focus on my own progress and less on others
- Take a break from certain components of social media
- Feeling okay with NOT trading
- Have ‘quieter’ weekends
- Weekly Goal
- Min. 3 times hitting the gym + mandatory cardio
- Trading Rules
- Trade from D and upwards unless a possible momentum trade, value acceptance or otherwise.
- Risk Management
- 3 trades 1% risk, 3rd trade only if first 2 worked out
- Capital Preservation during drawdown allows for 1R profit-taking
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING
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