01 Jan GBPNZD Week 1 Trading Plan
First day of the year. First weekly plan. Let’s go!
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This is my weekly outlook on the Forex pair GBPNZD. Basically the levels that I will be looking at where it has a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and order flow through market profile. I hope that makes sense. If not, please get in touch with me. I love to talk to people that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out.
Monthly — Neutral
- DBD forming a BASE at MN-C‑S 1.95004 BASE in November with somewhat clean arrival at MN-C‑D 1.89612 (although have been tested twice in July and September).
- December closed as a long-legged Dragonfly Doji (longer buying wick) and closing above MN-C‑D 1.89612
Weekly — Neutral to Slightly Bullish
- DBD to test W1-C‑D 1.85877 and consequent move away but no real follow-through yet although closing last week as an Inside bar with longer buying wick
- Trading within W1 QLo
Daily — Neutral
- Price tried breaking out from D1 VWAP in DT but failed at 50MA forming new supply at D1-C‑S 1.90528 before returning to D1-C‑D 1.88727 forming a Three Inside Up
- Mid D1 swing
H4 — Slightly Bullish
- Consolidation at D1-C‑D 1.88727 ending with a Bull Engulf
Market Profile — Balancing
- 3 day bracketing range
Sentiment summary — Balancing
- Due to arrival at MN demand level and having formed a potential reversal pattern we might see buying coming in. This pattern could also just be a mere base level. Although I expect some more balancing before any big break from overall range of the market. I’ll be more bullish if we could penetrate or better take out D1-C‑S 1.90528 for a more bullish sentiment. The opposite applies if we take out for D1-C‑D 1.88727.
Additional notes
- Non-farm on Friday 8th
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
- W1-C‑S 1.95437
- MN-C‑S 1.95004 BASE
- D1-C‑S 1.90528
ZOIs for Possible Long
- MN-C‑D 1.89612
- D1-C‑D 1.88727
- W1-C‑D 1.85877
Focus Points for trading development
- Monthly Goals
- Continue tracking my DRC tracking sheet
- Focus on my own progress and less on others
- Feeling okay with NOT trading
- Have ‘quieter’ weekends
- Weekly Goal
- Min. 3 times hitting the gym + mandatory cardio
- Trading Rules
- Trade from D and upwards unless a possible momentum trade, value acceptance or otherwise.
- Risk Management
- 3 trades 1% risk, 3rd trade only if first 2 worked out
- Capital Preservation during drawdown allows for 1R profit-taking
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING
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