07 Aug GBPNZD 2021 Week 32 Trading Plan
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This is my weekly outlook on GBPNZD. The levels that I will be looking at with a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, please get in touch with me. I love to talk to people that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out.
Monthly — Bullish
- MN Three Inside Up with retest of newly formed C‑dem and closing higher after having made a HH closing within MN supply
- Trading mid swing after a MN QLo and Q1 QLo rejection
- Price trading within last month’s body
Weekly — Bullish
- W1 Bearish Inside Bar with longer buying wick created reacting off W1-C‑D 1.96800 and W1 VWAP in UT
- Price trading mid W1 swing coming from a W1 QLo rejection
Daily — Bullish
- Price closed below D1 QHi after having formed D1-C‑S 1.99349 then proceeded to make a D1 Three Inside Up at W1-C‑D 1.96800
- Mid D1 Swing
Sentiment summary — Bullish
- Some summer-time slowdown
- Even though W1 looks Bearish price has continued making a HL in line with W1 VWAP in UT and there is a possible W1 Phase 1. If there’s a break below W1 Demand there could be a shift in sentiment.
- D1 Swinging within overall range. Even though D1 QHi was rejected multiple times, price has failed to follow-through on it (yet).
Additional notes
- Might not be able to trade if ASR remains too tight
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
- MN-C‑S 2.05903
- W1-C‑S 2.00000
- D1-C‑S 1.99349
ZOIs for Possible Long
- W1-C‑D 1.96800
- MN-C‑D 1.95263
- MN-C‑D 1.89782
Focus Points for trading development
- Monthly Goals
- No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
- Total of 13 trades by the end of the month
- Weekly Goal
- Weekly Focus Points
- Min. 3 times working out at home + mandatory cardio
- Trading rules
- Focus on taking ONE trade a day. If I missed the first DTTZ then a trade needs to be taken on the 2nd DTTZ unless there is a high/medium initiative activity day.
- Only price-action based exit rules (or if hit time stop comes earlier)
- M15/M30 entries and exits at 1st DTTZ, M5 entries and exits at 2nd DTTZ
- Buffer trades (profit target >1R) are allowed and encouraged
- Use SL scaling in case the profit target for the setup doesn’t provide 2R for example for FA or VAA setups
- No social media / messenger apps / phone calls allowed during the trading window
- Weekly Focus Points
- Risk Management
- Without forcing a trade: aim to take 1 trade a day, if possible 2.
- Capital Preservation during drawdown allows for 1R profit-taking
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING
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