01 Mar DAX 2022 Week 9 Trading Plan
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This is my weekly outlook on DAX. The levels that I will be looking at with a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, get in touch with me. I love to talk to people that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out.
Monthly — Bearish
- MN Closed as a MN Three Outside Down giving MN-D1-C‑S 15533.08 taking out MN demand
- Price seeing some reaction off of MN VWAP in UT leaving a slight buying wick
- Price rejected mN QHi
Weekly — Bearish
- Last week closed down (below overall range) breaking W1 demand but reacted off W1-C‑D 13972.79 leaving a buying wick
- W1 QHi rejected and arrived at W1 QLo
- No reversal pattern (yet)
Daily — Bullish
- D1 Bull Engulf giving D1-C‑D 14500 after reacting off D1 QLo and D1 demand closing within D1 Speedbump supply
- Possible D1 Phase 1
Sentiment summary — Bearish
- MN broke demand and formed a Three Outside Down normally representing momentum coming into the market although the 3rd candle is quite long so some buying reaction might come in.
- W1 is trading at W1 QLo and W1 demand and although some reaction no reversal pattern has formed (yet)
- D1 is showing possible signs of a beginning reversal around these levels if price can break and close above the formation.
Additional notes
- Friday: NFP
- Due to the conflict in Russia there might be more selling pressure coming in
Focus Points for trading development
- Monthly Goals
- No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
- No early exits, either hit SL or target
- Use SL scaling in case the profit target for the setup doesn’t provide 2R for example for FA or VAA setups
- Risk Management
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING
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