11 Apr DAX 2022 Week 15 Trading Plan
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This is my weekly outlook on DAX. The levels that I will be looking at with a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, get in touch with me. I love to talk to people that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out.
Monthly — Neutral
- Last month made a LL but closed as an Inside Bar with very long buying wick reacting off MN QLo and MN-C‑D 12765.57
- Price trading below last month’s body but within range
Weekly — Bearish
- W1 consolidation with W1 Bear Engulf break down giving W1-C‑S 14351.53 although with slightly longer buying wick
- W1 QHi rejected and price is trading mid swing
Daily — Bearish
- D1 Phase 3 to possible transition to Phase 4
- Price broke down from D1 VWAP trading at D1 50MA, possible TC
- D1 QHi rejected with price trading mid swing
Sentiment summary — Bearish
- MN is possible developing a MN DBD although with trading into a long buying wick some pushback is expected.
- Even though W1 broke down through a Bear Engulf it wasn’t the strongest.
- D1 closed below range and has rejected D1 QHi
Additional notes
- Blackswan event
- April 14th, metals and indices market closed
Focus Points for trading development
- Monthly Goals
- No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
- No early exits, either hit SL or target
- Use SL scaling in case the profit target for the setup doesn’t provide 2R for example for FA or VAA setups
- Risk Management
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING
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