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This is my weekly outlook on DAX. The levels that I will be looking at with a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, get in touch with me. I love to talk to people that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out.
Monthly — Bearish
- MN Closed as a MN Three Outside Down giving MN-D1-C‑S 15533.08 taking out MN demand
- Price rejected MN QHi, no arrival at MN QLo (yet)
- MN-C‑D 12765.57 near MN QLo
- Price following through on momentum
Weekly — Bearish
- W1 Phase 4 price closed at W1 200MA
- W1 QHi rejected
- W1 QLo at W1-C‑D 12585.63
Daily — Bearish
- D1 Phase 4 arriving and closing at D1-C‑D 13123.77 near range low
- D1 QHi rejected with no arrival at D1 QLO (yet)
Sentiment summary — Bearish
- MN seeing follow-through although coming close to MN demand and QLo which could have buyers come in
- W1 QHi rejected with no arrival at W1 QLo (yet), demand at QLO could see buyers coming in
- D1 arrived at D1 demand but the phase 4 implication could see the demand get taken out with also no arrival at QLo (yet)
Additional notes
- N.A.
Focus Points for trading development
- Monthly Goals
- No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
- No early exits, either hit SL or target
- Use SL scaling in case the profit target for the setup doesn’t provide 2R for example for FA or VAA setups
- Risk Management
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING