DAX 2021 Week 45 Trading Plan

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This is my week­ly out­look on DAX. The lev­els that I will be look­ing at with a high­er prob­a­bilis­tic chance the mar­ket will start react­ing. Dur­ing the ses­sion I then wait for the mar­ket to hit those lev­els and either con­firm or reject my bias through price action con­fir­ma­tion and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, please get in touch with me. I love to talk to peo­ple that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out. 

Month­ly — Bullish

• MN Bear Engulf with no con­tin­u­a­tion. Instead a Bull­ish Inside Bar clos­ing with­in new­ly formed MN Supply
• Con­tin­u­a­tion to last month’s bull­ish inside bar tak­ing out MN sup­ply and price made an all-time high

Week­ly — Bullish

• W1 Bull Engulf with con­tin­u­a­tion through RBR giv­ing W1-C‑D 15590.83 BASE
• Price took out W1 Sup­ply and close slight­ly above pre­vi­ous high (W1 Sup­ply End)

Dai­ly — Bullish

• D1 Phase 2 to price slow­ing down after hav­ing tak­en out larg­er time­frame sentiment
• Price trad­ing ‘extend­ed’ above D1 UKC

Sen­ti­ment sum­ma­ry — Bullish

• MN sup­ply got tak­en out and there is a pos­si­ble devel­op­ing MN Three Inside Up forming
• Con­tin­u­a­tion to W1 RBR with a close above last range high with a close near its high
• D1 price action slow­ing down but no rever­sal pat­tern (yet)

Addi­tion­al notes

• N.A.

ZOIs for Pos­si­ble Shorts

• N.A.

ZOIs for Pos­si­ble Long

• W1-C‑D 15590.83 BASE
• D1-C‑D 15499.30
• W1-C‑D 15290.73

Focus Points for trad­ing development

• Month­ly Goals
  • No momen­tum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
  • Total of 20 trades by the end of the month, prefer­ably 2 a day (not in the same prod­uct at the same time) 
  • No ear­ly exits, either hit SL or 2R target
  • Use SL scal­ing in case the prof­it tar­get for the set­up doesn’t pro­vide 2R for exam­ple for FA or VAA setups
• Process
  • Keep trade review com­ments short
• Risk Man­age­ment
  • 2 con­sec­u­tive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING

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