23 Oct DAX 2021 Week 43 Trading Plan
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This is my weekly outlook on DAX. The levels that I will be looking at with a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, please get in touch with me. I love to talk to people that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out.
Monthly — Bearish
- MN Bearish Engulfing formed giving MN-C‑S 15561.74
- Price made a LL and retraced to newly formed MN C‑Sup
Weekly — Bullish
- Price almost took out previous W1 demand but reacted (coinciding with W1 50MA in UT) and closed as a W1 Bull Engulf giving W1-C‑D 15290.73
- Price retraced to a W1 Base Supply level that coincides with MN C‑sup
- Last week closed as a possible base with longer buying wick above previous W1 Supply base level
Daily — Bullish
- After a flimsy D1 Three Outside Down a Bull Engulf formed giving D1-C‑D 15499.30 closing within D1 QHi but below D1-C‑S 15588.27
Sentiment summary — Bullish
- Price is testing newly formed MN C‑Sup. Still a possibility for sellers to come in as there is another week left in the month
- W1 returned to a base supply level indicating a possible continuation to originating level at W1-C‑S 15828.23. The possible formation of a base following the Bull Engulf further implies the same narrative.
- D1 attempted a rejection of D1 QHi but failed to follow-through. Instead a Bull Engulf closing within QHi.
Additional notes
- N.A.
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
- W1-C‑S 15828.23
- D1-C‑S 15694.72
- D1-C‑S 15588.27
- MN-C‑S 15561.74
ZOIs for Possible Long
- D1-C‑D 15499.30
- W1-C‑D 15290.73
- D1-C‑D 15125.75
Focus Points for trading development
- Monthly Goals
- No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
- Total of 20 trades by the end of the month, preferably 2 a day (not in the same product at the same time)
- No early exits, either hit SL or 2R target
- Use SL scaling in case the profit target for the setup doesn’t provide 2R for example for FA or VAA setups
- Process
- Keep trade review comments short
- Risk Management
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING
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