DAX 2021 Week 29 Trading Plan

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This is my week­ly out­look on DAX. The lev­els that I will be look­ing at with a high­er prob­a­bilis­tic chance the mar­ket will start react­ing. Dur­ing the ses­sion I then wait for the mar­ket to hit those lev­els and either con­firm or reject my bias through price action con­fir­ma­tion and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, please get in touch with me. I love to talk to peo­ple that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out. 

Month­ly — Bullish

• Closed high­er mak­ing a HH with equal-long wicks
• Price trad­ing with­in last month’s body

Week­ly — Slight­ly Bearish

• Price made an All-time High before clos­ing as a W1 Bear Engulf but price is still trad­ing above W1-C‑D 15401.45
• Pos­si­ble Phase 1 / 3

Dai­ly — Slight­ly Bearish

• D1 Three Out­side Down giv­ing D1-C‑S 15778.44 with con­tin­u­a­tion down with no arrival at D1 demand
• Pos­si­ble D1 Phase4 but price still trad­ing with­in over­all range

Sen­ti­ment sum­ma­ry — Neutral

• MN made an All-time high but start­ed sell­ing off a little
• W1 closed as a Bear Engulf but no break below/above over­all range
• D1 phase 4 but has not bro­ken any demand (yet)

Addi­tion­al notes

• Jul 22, 19:45, EUR, ECB Inter­est Rate Decision
• Jul 22, 20:30, EUR, ECB Mon­e­tary Pol­i­cy State­ment and Press Conference
• Jul 22, 20:30, USD, Ini­tial Job­less Claims

ZOIs for Pos­si­ble Shorts

• D1-C‑S 15778.44
• W1-C‑S 15654.79

ZOIs for Pos­si­ble Long

• W1-C‑D 15401.45

Focus Points for trad­ing development

• Month­ly Goals
  • No momen­tum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
  • Total of 13 trades by the end of the month
• Week­ly Goal
  • Week­ly Focus Points
  • Min. 3 times work­ing out at home + manda­to­ry cardio
  • Trad­ing rules
  • Focus on tak­ing ONE trade a day. If I missed the first DTTZ then a trade needs to be tak­en on the 2nd DTTZ unless there is a high/medium ini­tia­tive activ­i­ty day.
  • Only price-action based exit rules (or if hit time stop comes earlier)
  • M15/M30 entries and exits at 1st DTTZ, M5 entries and exits at 2nd DTTZ
  • Buffer trades (prof­it tar­get >1R) are allowed and encouraged
  • Use SL scal­ing in case the prof­it tar­get for the set­up doesn’t pro­vide 2R for exam­ple for FA or VAA setups
  • No social media / mes­sen­ger apps / phone calls allowed dur­ing the trad­ing window
• Risk Man­age­ment
  • With­out forc­ing a trade: aim to take 1 trade a day, if pos­si­ble 2. 
  • Cap­i­tal Preser­va­tion dur­ing draw­down allows for 1R profit-taking
  • 2 con­sec­u­tive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING

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