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Summary: Observe, Orient, Decide, Act
Every trading day I recap my trades, including more than entries and exits. Why did I take the trade? How did I manage the trade, my emotions and cognitive function? All the good stuff as well as all the ugly of being a day trader. As always, feel free to reach out to me.
My weekly goal:
- Only trade off M30/M15 for entries. M30, time-based, or look for exits after 2 hours (4 TPOs). Unless the entry is really late.
Good Pre-market routines
Fair Session PECS
Good Trade selection
Good Trade sizing or SL placement
Good Trade Execution & Mgmt.
Good Risk Adjusted Returns
Yes Daily review
Muppet meter (1 being best — 5 being worst): 1
Summary
- GBPNZD
- B closed as Bear Engulf at VWAP in DT. Location at H4 QLo and D1 C‑dem is not the best for a move down. H1 closed indecisive.
- C: Price trading around M15 VWAP, below M30 VWAP, closed as M30 consolidation with longer buying wick. Looks like M5 Widening KC.
- D: Closed as pinbar with long buying wick but still below M30 VWAP in DT, H1 Bull Engulf
- E: Closed extending over IB at VAL leaving single prints behind. There is some LTF supply here
- F: M15 formed a doji, if there is an evening star formation I could potentially look for a single print fade as F would have left a selling tail behind and IB extended 1x. Closed as pinbar with longer selling wick. M15 weak Evening Star at VAL with nearby H4 C‑Sup
- G: Started taking out single pints in F
- Short 1.95100 SL 1.95400 TP 1.94505
- H: Took profit at IB edge 1.94970. Could have kept it longer monitoring for a FA but due to M30 VWAP in the way I find that risky.
- Closed down as weak FA
Hypos
- Which hypo played out and how did I hypothesize it playing out? How did it actually play out? What did the profile and price action show?
- GBPNZD
- Hypo 1 – Return to value (short) / Trend continuation
- H4 C‑Sup with LTF supply in near-proximity to VAL (as well as below M30 VWAP in DT)
- Preferred: due to moderate imbalance I’d like to see PA confirmation of a continuation down followed by Momentum IB extension down. Monitor for sustained auction.
- 80%
- Instead there was an actual return to VA through IB extension up, PA reversal first M15 holding into M30 with single print fade move. There was no FA though. Instead a weak FA.
- Hypo 1 – Return to value (short) / Trend continuation
How accurate was my assessment of market context? Was I aligned with market context?
- I did well here although based on the distribution curve (as well as being a higher time frame then H4) the D1 C‑dem should have had a higher priority and thus Hypo 2 could have been 1 instead. It all worked out in the end but still….
How did I feel before, during, and after the trade?
- I felt okay
How well did I follow my process?
- I did well here
How well did I manage my physical, emotional and cognitive states?
- I did well here
What did I learn today?
- I can be flexible and switch sentiment based on PA and narrative given
What’s one thing I need to do more often?
- Observe, Orient, Decide, and Act 🙂
What’s one thing I need to do less often?
- Worry about the outcome of one single trade. I did well here though.
Under the circumstances, did I perform at my best?
- I did well here
For my trade plan(s) on this particular day, go here: