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Summary: Keep the course
Every trading day I recap my trades, including more than entries and exits. Why did I take the trade? How did I manage the trade, my emotions and cognitive function? All the good stuff as well as all the ugly of being a day trader. As always, feel free to reach out to me.
My weekly goal:
- Only trade off M30/M15 for entries. M30, time-based, or look for exits after 2 hours (4 TPOs). Unless the entry is really late.
- SL placement. Add spread for shorts, subtract for longs
Good Pre-market routines
Good Session PECS
Good Trade selection
Good Trade sizing or SL placement
Good Trade Execution & Mgmt.
Good Risk Adjusted Returns
Yes Daily review
Muppet meter (1 being best — 5 being worst): 1
Summary
- GBPNZD
- Inside bar during B at M30 VWAP
- C: Consequent push higher but still within IB, M15 Bull Engulf in UT
- D: Extended over IB after having formed a M15 RBR (on the hour), taking out H4/D1 supply
- PT1 1.97114 SL 1.96805 TP 1.97733
- Closed at 1.2R due to nearby ADR exhaustion and round number of 1.975
- E: Exhausted ADR, if E can stay around these levels perhaps we can get a single print fade during F if accompanied with a PA reversal as well.
- Closed as an M30 Inside bar, M15 Evening Star
- F: Short 1.97290 SL 1.97633 TP 1.96626, Single Print Fade, M15 Evening Star on the hour after testing overhead H4 supply and round number
- Closed taking out more single prints, no close with IB yet
- G: took out more single prints, left 4 single prints behind
- H: Took out all single prints, trade close 0.5R at IB edge
- Closed bouncing off IB and trading up
Hypos
- Which hypo played out and how did I hypothesize it playing out? How did it actually play out? What did the profile and price action show?
- GBPNZD
- Hypo 3 – Continuation Long
- Less likely but if there is momentum in a play up we could see HHs
- Strong Bullish PA or perhaps a late sustained auction entry
- 90%
- This should have been more likely due to the H4 Phase 2 and PA above M30 VWAP
- H4/D1 supply got taken out
- Hypo 1 – Mean Reversion (short)
- Near C‑sup lines and open sentiment
- Preferred: PA reversal with IB extension down, sustained auction till VAH / H4-C‑D 1.96101 BASE area (although a return to this area could also mean a continuation down so will monitor for a potential VAA
- 80%
- Instead we extended to the upside and ran into ADR exhaustion / H4 c‑sup at round number before pulling back. And I say pulling back since it looks like the general move higher is not done yet. We didn’t have a failed auction.
- Hypo 3 – Continuation Long
How accurate was my assessment of market context? Was I aligned with market context?
- I did well here to give more priority to Hypo 3 when I saw PA building in its favor
How did I feel before, during, and after the trade?
- I felt okay
How well did I follow my process?
- I did well here
How well did I manage my physical, emotional and cognitive states?
- I did well here
What did I learn today?
- I gained confidence in reading orderflow and combining M30 with M15 PA combination
What’s one thing I need to do more often?
- Keep the course
What’s one thing I need to do less often?
- Worry about future goals. It’s the next step that counts.
Under the circumstances, did I perform at my best?
- I did well here
For my trade plan(s) on this particular day, go here: