08 Sep Daily Report Card 09082020
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Summary: Value Rejection
Every trading day I recap my trades, including more than entries and exits. Why did I take the trade? How did I manage the trade, my emotions and cognitive function? All the good stuff as well as all the ugly of being a day trader. As always, feel free to reach out to me.
My weekly goal: Formulate hypos in order of likelihood and track with actual development on the day
Good Pre-market routines
Good Session PECS
Good Trade selection
Good Trade sizing or SL placement
Good Trade Execution & Mgmt.
Good Risk Adjusted Returns
Yes Daily review
Muppet meter (1 being best — 5 being worst): 1
Summary
- GBPNZD
- C: Closed outside of VAL but no IB extension down plus H4 c‑dem in the way
- D: Closed as strong inside bar within value, failed value rejection, M15 Bull Engulf, but price still needs to clear M30 VWAP right at IB high
- E: Extended up over IB, created a long selling ail and wick when failing to break out from VWAP and closed back inside value as a potential base (could be because of responsive activity, no confident bearish price action
- F: M30 Bear Engulf closing below IB forming a Neutral Day (already due to extension down after price extended up) but it’s late into the session. A big move is getting less likely.
- G: sustained auction down hitting ADR exhaustion
- H: M5 Bull Engulf at ADR exhaustion, M15 inside bar but not the strongest, no 4+ TPO structure, price fading G single prints. Closed as strong inside bar
- DAX
- C: M30 closed within value but stopped at M30 demand, formed a M15 doji, possibly forming a morning star, M5 Bull Engulf, followed by some consolidation, trying a paper trade 13025.71, SL 12983.32, TP 13110.48 (2R)
- D: M30 closed within value above M30 demand, lower time frame bull engulfings and M15 doji with longer buying wick.
- E: closed as doji within value
- F: Value rotation, looking like a Normal Day
Hypos
- Was I right on the direction of the session?
- GBPNZD
- Yes
- DAX
- Yes
- GBPNZD
- Which hypo played out (if any)?
- GBPNZD
- DAX
- How did I hypothesize it playing out?
- GBPNZD
- Hypo 2 — 100%
- Confident close outside of value,price action confirming a sustained auction down, hitting ADR exhaustion calling in the possibility for an abnormal day.
- DAX
- Hypo 2 — 100%
- Value acceptance
- GBPNZD
- How did it actually play out? What did the profile and price action show?
- GBPNZD
- We did see a value rejection after an initial extension up price formed a M30 Bear Engulf and proceeded to extend down creating a Neutral Day (as detailed above).
- DAX
- Value acceptance and even when there was a M30 demand inside (of which I took a paper trade long off of) price took it out and eventually rotated through.
- GBPNZD
How accurate was my assessment of market context? Was I aligned with market context?
- Did well here
How did I feel before, during, and after the trade?
- No trades taken.
How well did I follow my process?
- Did well here
How well did I manage my physical, emotional and cognitive states?
- Did well here
What did I learn today?
- M30 VWAP has proven time after time a formidable level. Even within value.
What’s one thing I need to do more often?
- Follow my process
What’s one thing I need to do less often?
- Trying to read too much into things
Under the circumstances, did I perform at my best?
- Did well here
For my trade plan(s) on this particular day, go here:
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