My weekly goal
Only take trades when there are at least 4 confluences. Trade location. Market Profile. Price action confirmation. Follow hard entry and exit rules.
Good Pre-market routines
Good Session PECS
Good Trade selection
Good Trade Execution & Mgmt.
Good Risk Adjusted Returns
Yes Daily review
Muppet meter (1 being best — 5 being worst): 1
Summary
- London opened above value
- A possible IB extension up would be in line with a slightly bullish thesis as well as having opened above value. A failure to rally could be a setup for a value acceptance move if we can close (M30) convincingly into value.
- After closing inside value we preferably would like to see a pullback to VAH or supply level if possible. This is not always the case though.
- M5 is showing a break from VWAP and a potential pullback to VWAP so that might be my best entry to go short
- Entered on retest of PVAH at 1.39312, SL 1.39501, TP 1.38912
- Reasons for taking the trade:
- London open above VA but failure to rally, M30 close within value indicating possible acceptance (H4 conterminous supply), M5 showing VWAP breakdown + pullback coinciding with VAH
- During the trade
- IB extending down in last minutes of E
- M30 keeps closing down within value indicating a continuation
- Price reached PVAL and started finding some buyers
- Closed off the trade 10 minutes before time-based stop because of my own previous approach only to see it drop 16 pips more in the last ten minutes. Live and learn. Made 0.6 R instead of 1.3.
- I did good on taking the directional cues.
- Reasons for taking the trade:
- AFTERMATH (post trading window, after noon)
- After stop price would have gotten close to my TP missing by 3 pips
How accurate was my assessment of market context?
- I did great here.
How did I feel before, during, and after the trade?
- I was feeling jumpy in the beginning having drank too much caffeine but overall my cognitive function was good.
How well did I follow my process?
- Did a good job here
How well did I manage my physical, emotional and cognitive states?
- Did good here
What did I learn today?
- When larger timeframe is bearish and we open above value, fail to rally, then continue to accept value with strong bearish engulfing, we can then preferably wait for a pullback to PVAH to enter short. However, don’t be too strict and a few pips off is okay. If then in the next candle we don’t see a retracement of the move we can assume that price will slowly inch lower.
- If we had opened below we could see a test of the newly developed M30 conterminous for 2nd chance entry
- Value acceptance = fast especially larger time frame being bearish and we opened above accepted into value
What’s one thing I need to do more often?
- Put trust into algorithmically researched rules
What’s one thing I need to do less often?
- Drink too much coffee
For my trade plan(s) on this particular day, go here: