23 Nov 20211123 Premarket Prep Gold
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This is my premarket prep for today’s European session for GOLD. This prep builds off of my weekly trade plan I made here:
The purpose of a premarket prep is to find setups within my weekly trade plan bias
Compared against Weekly Trading Plan
- Possible Developing MN Three Inside UP although price trading within MN Supply
- Last week closed as an Inside Bar below W1 QHi and price is trading below its body and range: possibly developing a W1 Three Outside Down
Non-conjecture observations of the market
- Price action
- D1 Three Outside Down with continuation down traversing 1.86xADR. Price rejected D1/W1 QHi with no arrival at QLo (yet)
- H4 consolidation at H4 200MA
- Trend: H4 Down, D1 Up, W1 Up
- Prevailing trend: Trend is UP 2/3
- Market Profile
- Value created below the previous
- Daily Range
- ADR: 24884
- ASR: 17136
- 428
- ASR Short: 9512
- 238
- Day
- Yesterday’s High
- Yesterday’s Low
Sentiment
- LN open
- Below Value, Outside Range
- Open distance to value
- 1.78xASR
- Narrative
- Huge Imbalance. Asia formed a Neutral Day after price initially extended to the upside first. Prev. Day Exceeded ADR by 1.68. Possibility for some retracement. Price trading at yesterday’s low. If price can hold below there might be a continuation to the down move.
- Clarity (1–5, 5 being best)
- 4
- Hypo 1
- Mean Reversion, Sustained Auction Long
- Hypo 2
- Failed Auction Short, variation to Hypo 1 if there is no mean reversion in the first 2 hours
- Hypo 3
- Sustained Auction Short, although D1 QLo and demand not far off
- Hypo 4
- Auction Fade Long, variation to hypo 3
- Hypo 5
- Auction Fade Short, variation to Hypo 1
Additional notes
- N.A.
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
- W1-C‑S 1888.859
- D1-C‑S 1862.308
ZOIs for Possible Long
- W1-C‑D 1794.045
Mindful Trading (lack of sleep?)
- Feeling okay
Focus Points for trading development
- Monthly Goals
- No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
- Total of 20 trades by the end of the month, preferably 2 a day (not in the same product at the same time)
- No early exits, either hit SL or 2R target
- Use SL scaling in case the profit target for the setup doesn’t provide 2R for example for FA or VAA setups
- Process
- Keep trade review comments short
- Risk Management
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING
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