22 Nov 20211122 Premarket Prep Gold
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This is my premarket prep for today’s European session for GOLD. This prep builds off of my weekly trade plan I made here:
The purpose of a premarket prep is to find setups within my weekly trade plan bias
Compared against Weekly Trading Plan
- Possible Developing MN Three Inside UP although price trading within MN Supply
- Last week closed as an Inside Bar below W1 QHi and price is trading within its body
Non-conjecture observations of the market
- Price action
- D1 Three Outside Down closing below D1/W1 QHi
- H4 closed below overall range and some demand created above H4 LKC in UT
- London trading more than NY
- Trend: H4 Up, D1 Up, W1 Up
- Prevailing trend: Trend is UP 3/3
- Market Profile
- 3‑day overlapping values with price currently trading below
- Daily Range
- ADR: 21196
- ASR: 15330
- 383
- ASR Short: 9126
- 228
- Day
- Yesterday’s High 1865.600
- Yesterday’s Low 1842.970
Sentiment
- LN open
- Below Value, Outside Range
- Open distance to value
- 0.94xASR
- Narrative
- Large Imbalance. Prev. Day Exceeded ADR by 1.08. Price formed a H4 Bear Engulf with longer buying wick and is trading at H4 LKC in UT. Trend is still up 3/3. Open sentiment suggests the possibility for a mean reversion although newly formed demand did get taken out and D1 Three Outside Down could see momentum behind the move. M30 consolidation and break down during Asia and formed a Neutral Day.
- Clarity (1–5, 5 being best)
- 4
- Hypo 1
- Mean Reversion, Sustained Auction Long,
- Hypo 2
- Return to Value, Reversal or perhaps an Auction Fade Short
- Hypo 3
- Failed Auction Short, variation to a failure of Hypo 1 within the first 2 hours
- Hypo 4
- Sustained Auction Short, late-sustained auction entry preferred
- Hypo 5
- Auction Fade Long
Additional notes
- N.A.
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
- W1-C‑S 1888.859
- D1-C‑S 1862.308
ZOIs for Possible Long
- W1-C‑D 1794.045
Mindful Trading (lack of sleep?)
- Feeling okay
Focus Points for trading development
- Monthly Goals
- No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
- Total of 20 trades by the end of the month, preferably 2 a day (not in the same product at the same time)
- No early exits, either hit SL or 2R target
- Use SL scaling in case the profit target for the setup doesn’t provide 2R for example for FA or VAA setups
- Process
- Keep trade review comments short
- Risk Management
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING
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