02 Nov Gold 2021 Week 44 Trading Plan
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This is my weekly outlook on GOLD. The levels that I will be looking at with a higher probabilistic chance the market will start reacting. During the session I then wait for the market to hit those levels and either confirm or reject my bias through price action confirmation and order flow. I hope that makes sense. If not, please get in touch with me. I love to talk to people that are on the same path as me. So don’t be shy and reach out.
Monthly — Bearish
- Multiple MN QHi rejections
- Price retraced to MN-C‑S 1813.621 (MN Evening Star) and closed as an Inside Bar with longer selling wick
- Price trading at MN VWAP in UT
Weekly — Bullish
- W1 QLo rejected with no arrival at W1 QHi (yet)
- Last week closed as a Neutral Inside Bar after price moved higher from recently formed W1-C‑D 1764.198
Daily — Bearish
- D1 Bear Engulf at D1 200MA and D1 QHi giving D1-C‑S 1793.804 followed by another reaction
- Price failed to continue and closed as a Bullish Inside Bar below D1 Supply
Sentiment summary — Bearish
- Price retracing to MN evening Star C‑sup isn’t the best bearish sign but price did close with a longer selling wick as an Inside Bar.
- No W1 PA reversal (yet) although price is trading at and reacted off W1 supply (that was tested multiple times)
- Railroad rejection of D1 QHi but with no follow-through (yet) instead a Bullish Inside Bar. Unless price fails to close higher within D1 Supply (or better take it out) the bearish sentiment prevails.
Additional notes
- Nov 04, 02:00, USD, Fed Interest Rate Decision
- Nov 05, 20:30, USD, Non Farm Payrolls (Oct)
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
- MN-C‑S 1813.621
- W1-C‑S 1807.771
- D1-C‑S 1793.804
ZOIs for Possible Long
- W1-C‑D 1764.198
- MN-C‑D 1739.073
Focus Points for trading development
- Monthly Goals
- No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
- Total of 20 trades by the end of the month, preferably 2 a day (not in the same product at the same time)
- Weekly Goal
- Use SL scaling in case the profit target for the setup doesn’t provide 2R for example for FA or VAA setups
- No early exits, either hit SL or 2R target, latest cut-off 1:30 London time
- Risk Management
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING
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