25 Jan Premarket Prep Gold 01252021
GBPNZD in a too tight range thus focusing on Gold today.
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This is my premarket prep for today’s European session for GOLD. This prep builds off of my weekly trade plan I made here:
The purpose of a premarket prep is to find setups within my weekly trade plan bias
Weekly Focus Points
- Only take trades according to a hypo unless there are multiple conditions met
Compared against Weekly Trading Plan
- Price trading higher nearing W1-C‑S 1889.402 and W1 VWAP CAR with slight reaction off supply/VWAP
Non-conjecture observations of the market
- Price action
- Push higher towards D1 VWAP in Range forming an Evening Star testing underlying demand at W1‑C‑D 1839.109 (plus newly formed D1 demand). Reaction off said demand left a long buying wick behind.
- Mid D1/W1 Swing
- Price consolidating below H4 QHi with finisher but no follow-through, price trading within H4-C‑D 1855.975 demand, some supply right on top
- Market Profile
- Wide value area, middle of overall range
- ADR: 27945
- ASR: 19077
- 480
- Day
- Yesterday’s High 1869.850
- Yesterday’s Low 1837.220
Sentiment
- Locations
- ADR 0.5 high at previous day’s high and LTF supply
- ADR 0.5 low near previous day low and LTF demand
- Sentiment
- LN open
- Within Value
- Open distance to value
- N.A.
- Sentiment
- Balancing.
- LN open
- Clarity (1–5, 5 being best)
- 4
- Hypo 1 — Balancing Market / Value Rejection Failure
- Place off nearby LTF SD, ADR levels
- Hypo 2 — Value Rejection Down
- Preferred: Confident close below VAL, IB extension down with sustained auction
- Hypo 3 — Value Rejection Up
- Preferred: Confident close above VAH, IB extension up with sustained auction
Additional notes
- N.A.
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
- W1-C‑S 1889.402
- H4-C‑S 1869.965
ZOIs for Possible Long
- MN-C‑D 1877.953 coinciding with D1 demand
- H4-C‑D 1855.975
- D1-C‑D 1847.306
Mindful Trading
- Feeling okay but have been sick the last 3 days. Still a bit sluggish.
Focus Points for trading development
- Monthly Goals
- Continue tracking my DRC tracking sheet
- Focus on my own progress and less on others
- Feeling okay with NOT trading
- Have ‘quieter’ weekends
- Weekly Goal
- Min. 3 times hitting the gym
- Trading Rules
- Trade from D and upwards unless a possible momentum trade, value acceptance or otherwise.
- Risk Management
- 3 trades 1% risk, 3rd trade only if first 2 worked out
- Capital Preservation during drawdown allows for 1R profit-taking
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING
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