19 Jan Premarket Prep Gold 01192021
GBPNZD in a too tight range thus focusing on Gold today.
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This is my premarket prep for today’s European session for GOLD. This prep builds off of my weekly trade plan I made here:
The purpose of a premarket prep is to find setups within my weekly trade plan bias
Weekly Focus Points
- Only take trades according to a hypo unless there are multiple conditions met
Compared against Weekly Trading Plan
- Price trading at W1 C‑dem
Non-conjecture observations of the market
- Price action
- Gap down to D1 QLo (after closing down from consolidation) with consequent gap fill and continuation pushing higher closing strong
- Mid D1 swing
- H4 Consolidation (with one long selling wick) at H4 VWAP in DT
- mid H4 swing
- Premarket H4 closed as another consolidation with long selling wick
- Gap down to D1 QLo (after closing down from consolidation) with consequent gap fill and continuation pushing higher closing strong
- Market Profile
- Price trading below overall bracketing range
- ADR: 31387
- ASR: 19697
- 495
- Day
- Yesterday’s High 1856.740
- Yesterday’s Low 1823.360
Sentiment
- Locations
- H4-C‑S 1844.705 at M30 QHi
- Sentiment
- LN open
- Above Value, Inside Range
- Open distance to value
- 0.1xASR
- Sentiment
- Moderate Imbalance
- LN open
- Clarity (1–5, 5 being best)
- 4
- Hypo 1 — Trend Continuation / Return to Value
- Preferred: Strong Bullish price action taking out LTF supply closing well within H4 supply. IB extension up and sustained auction
- Hypo 2 — Swing Reversal
- Preferred: Move up to H4 C‑sup, Bearish Price action reversal within IB and consequent move down (perhaps too wide IB and extension up with failed auction). Monitor for extension down.
- Hypo 3 — Value Acceptance
- Preferred: Early acceptance and follow-through, IB extension down (taking out H4 demand) with sustained auction.
- Possible follow-through down
- Hypo 4 — responsive activity
Additional notes
- N.A.
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
- W1-C‑S 1889.402
- H4-C‑S 1844.705
ZOIs for Possible Long
- MN-C‑D 1877.953 coinciding with D1 demand
- D1-C‑D 1847.306
- H4-C‑D 1844.527 & W1-C‑D 1839.109
Mindful Trading
- Feeling okay
Focus Points for trading development
- Monthly Goals
- Continue tracking my DRC tracking sheet
- Focus on my own progress and less on others
- Feeling okay with NOT trading
- Have ‘quieter’ weekends
- Weekly Goal
- Min. 3 times hitting the gym
- Trading Rules
- Trade from D and upwards unless a possible momentum trade, value acceptance or otherwise.
- Risk Management
- 3 trades 1% risk, 3rd trade only if first 2 worked out
- Capital Preservation during drawdown allows for 1R profit-taking
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING
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