27 Aug 27082019 Tuesday — Trade Plan & Journal
27082019 Tuesday — Trade Plan & Journal
Terminology (partially made up by yours truly)
- PA = Price Action
- BO = Break Out
- BD = Break Down
- CAR = Confirm As Resistance
- CAS = Confirm As Support
- UKC = Upper Keltner Channel
- LKC = Lower Keltner Channel
- TV = Tick Volume
- WPP = Weekly Pivot Point
- DPP = Daily Pivot Point
- DR = Daily Resistance (pivot)
- DS = Daily Support (pivot)
- WR = Weekly Resistance (pivot)
- WS = Weekly Support (pivot)
- HL = Higher Low
- HH = Higher High
- LH = Lower High
- LL = Lower Low
- SD = Standard Deviation
- VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price
- AS = Asian Session
- LS = London Session (EU)
- NY = New York Session (US)
- R/R = Risk to Reward
- M2M = Move to Move
- T2H = Trade to Hold
- DT = DownTrend
- UT = UpTrend
- R = Range
- LTF = Lower Time Frame
- TTF = Trading Time Frame
- HTF = Higher Time Frame
- HHTF = Higher High Time Frame
- Hypo = HYPOthetical
- AD = Accumulation Distribution
Health review
- Weekly goal
- Don’t eat after 5pm
- How do you feel? Have you recently had a break of daily routine (like a trip)? Did you have 2 (or more) nights of insufficient sleep?
- Slept almost 8 hours last night. My left eye is itching which is a bit annoying but nothing bad.
- How would you rate it (1–5)? 1/2 = don’t trade 3= quarter position 1st 12 2nd 2, 4= half position = 1st 25 2nd 5, 5= full position = 1st 50 2nd 10
- 5= full position = 1st 50 2nd 10
Market Prep
Intraday Technical Analysis
- HHTF
- What is the market narrative?
- HHTF LKCCAS
- What is the market narrative?
- HTF
- Levels
- Prev. High 55.161
- PVAH 54.711
- PPOC 53.708
- PVAL 53.341
- Prev. Low 52.896
- What is the market narrative and bias?
- Possible HTF R S‑Line forming which would warrant going long at this level short below
- Levels
- TTF
- Does the Asian session show clues that align with market narrative?
- We had a LKCCAS once and are looking to make another one which if formed could show a reversal candle just below HTF S‑Line and we might be long-biased from then on until proven otherwise.
- Does the Asian session show clues that align with market narrative?
Trade Idea
- Hypo 1 Long
- HTF R S‑Line CAS
- Entry around 53.85
- Targets 53.95, 54.45
- Hypo 2 Short
- HTF R S‑Line BD
- Entry around 53.70
- Targets 53.50, 53.20
- Hypo 3 Rotational
- 53.60 — 54.40
My goals for the day (Daily Report Card)
- Define winning
- I only trade in alignment with market narrative (10 points)
- Did I stay open to MGI?
- Did MGI confirm my market narrative?
- I will use appropriate sizing (10 points)
- Cut sizing in half after 2 consecutive stops
- Take a 10 minute break after 3 consecutive stops
- I only trade in alignment with market narrative (10 points)
Reading the Tape
- What is printing?
- 15:35
- HTF
- What is the market narrative?
- Possibly a HTF R S‑Line BD F
- What is the market narrative?
- TTF
- What should have happened in alignment with MN?
- TTF R R‑Line BO would confirm the MN being correct but we’re not there yet
- What clues are in alignment with MN?
- TTF R Oversold with push back and AD going on however 200 sloping down and 50 is aligning with it as well could be another move down so stay open for whatever happens
- What should have happened in alignment with MN?
- Bias
- Long if we have a TTF R R‑Line BO in line with MN
- Short if we break HTF 2.0 SD as S
- Opportunity (if any)
- Do you have clarity?
- Not too much clarity at the moment so will not take trades until I have more confirmation
- What setup am I going to stalk?
- Unclear ATM
- Do you have clarity?
- HTF
- 17:05
- HTF
- What is the market narrative?
- A lot of fakes going on. Tried to break free from HTF R S‑Line but had a lot of push back so much so that it would appear that we might see a BD however no further confirmation. Thus the narrative is unclear and I will stay out of the market until it clears up.
- What is the market narrative?
- TTF
- What should have happened in alignment with MN?
- HTF R S‑Line CAS
- Should see PA stay above TTF R‑Line which is still the case however there is again much AD going on
- HTF R S‑Line BD
- We have not moved below TTF R R‑Line so unless we BD from here I remain long-biased
- HTF R S‑Line CAS
- What clues are in alignment with MN?
- After we broke out from TTF R R‑Line we pulled back and looks like a potential PB to CAS but since the PB was longer than usual it might be a prelude to a BD from here
- Thus lack of clarity and no trades are allowed
- After we broke out from TTF R R‑Line we pulled back and looks like a potential PB to CAS but since the PB was longer than usual it might be a prelude to a BD from here
- What should have happened in alignment with MN?
- Bias
- Unclear ATM
- Opportunity (if any)
- Do you have clarity?
- No
- What setup am I going to stalk?
- None ATM
- Do you have clarity?
- HTF
- 17:35
- HTF
- What is the market narrative?
- Still the same
- What is the market narrative?
- HTF
- 18:05
- HTF
- What is the market narrative?
- We stayed above S‑Line so long-bias
- What is the market narrative?
- TTF
- What should have happened in alignment with MN?
- We stayed above R‑Line after BO and above the newly formed S‑Line, long bias
- What clues are in alignment with MN?
- PA above R and S line
- What should have happened in alignment with MN?
- Bias
- Long
- Opportunity (if any)
- Do you have clarity?
- I believe we had a fake BD and we are going to move up instead
- What setup am I going to stalk?
- TTF S‑Line CAS @HTF50
- Do you have clarity?
- HTF
- 18:35
- HTF
- What is the market narrative?
- HTF R S‑Line CAS to UKC
- What is the market narrative?
- TTF
- What should have happened in alignment with MN?
- PA stayed above TTF S‑Line and we pulled back to CAS so long is warranted
- What clues are in alignment with MN?
- PA staying above S‑Line
- What should have happened in alignment with MN?
- Bias
- Long until we break S‑Line
- Opportunity (if any)
- Do you have clarity?
- HTF S‑Line CAS with PA staying above TTF S‑Line clearly gives a long bias so yeah I have some clarity
- What setup am I going to stalk?
- Do you have clarity?
- HTF
- 20:05
- HTF
- What is the market narrative?
- PB to 50MACAS
- What is the market narrative?
- TTF
- What should have happened in alignment with MN?
- BD from S‑Line but immediate push back at 50 to VWAP
- What clues are in alignment with MN?
- Look above
- What should have happened in alignment with MN?
- Bias
- Short under TTF VWAP, but it looks like we might push back over it so long above VWAP
- Opportunity (if any)
- Do you have clarity?
- If we stay under TTF VWAP we might be looking at a potential setup to BD from HTF S‑Line, otherwise a continuation to HTF UKC
- What setup am I going to stalk?
- Unclear ATM
- Do you have clarity?
- HTF
- 15:35
Daily Report Card
Trade Idea
- Hypo 1 Long
- HTF R S‑Line CAS
- Entry around 53.85
- Targets 53.95, 54.45
- Hypo 2 Short
- HTF R S‑Line BD
- Entry around 53.70
- Targets 53.50, 53.20
- Hypo 3 Rotational
- 53.60 — 54.40
Daily Report Card | ||
Date: | 8/27/2019 | |
Weekly Goal | Align with market narrative | |
Combined Score | 90 | |
Progress towards weekly goal (20 points) | ||
10 | Point 1 | |
10 | Point 2 | |
20 | Total | |
Process Report Card (10 each) | ||
6 | Session PECS | |
10 | Hypos | |
10 | Market Prep | |
10 | Daily review | |
36 | Total | |
Performance Report Card (10 each) | ||
4/4 | 10 | Setups Identified |
3/4 | 7 | Setups taken |
1/4 | 7 | Erroneous Entries |
0/4 | 10 | Erroneous Exits |
34 | total | |
- Weekly Goal
- I only trade in alignment with market narrative (10 points)
- Did I stay open to MGI?
- I did well here. Even though I somewhat recognized the pattern I traded off the key levels
- Did MGI confirm my market narrative?
- Like yesterday we had a lot of fake moves during the session. This caught me off guard yesterday but not today. I recognized the fakes and looked for a key level for PA to bounce off of and traded off this dynamic level
- Did I stay open to MGI?
- I will use appropriate sizing (10 points)
- Use appropriate sizing on trades
- With a bad day yesterday I traded smaller today to see if I was in alignment with the market. If there were more opportunities I would have upped my sizing.
- Cut sizing in half after 2 consecutive stops and take a 10 minute break after 3 consecutive stops
- There was no need
- Use appropriate sizing on trades
- I only trade in alignment with market narrative (10 points)
- Review
Trade Idea | Pos. | Entry Errors | Exit Errors | Type Trade | Size | Reason to cover | Error | Comments | |
1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | HTF R S‑Line CAS | 20 | SO | Stopped Out | FOMO | entered before having confirmation on my setup |
1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | HTF R S‑Line CAS | 20 | TP | Scalp | - | - |
1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | HTF R S‑Line CAS | 20 | TP | Scalp | - | - |
- How accurate was my assessment of market context?
- Hypo 1 — 100%
- Did well here even
- Real-time analysis
- 100%
- Hypo 1 — 100%
- How well did I manage my physical, emotional and cognitive states?
- P: Felt a bit tired during the session even though I slept enough
- E: Did well here
- CS: Because I was feeling a bit tired I wasn’t a 100% in concentration towards the end but did my best.
- What’s one thing you learned today?
- Humility and patience are key (included this in my list of mantras as part of meditation)
- Positive(s)
- Stayed patient and mostly traded off MGI
- After making a mistake on the first trade I went back to trading off MGI and did well here.
- Negative(s)
- First trade (even though the market went in my favor after getting stopped out) was wrong because I got in out of FOMO and should have waited for a better R/R at my key level. At this time however I wasn’t too clear about the pattern and therefore should not have traded anyway.
- There was one more setup I could have taken but didn’t. It was towards the end of the session and I had trouble focusing.
Feedback?
Any questions or feedback you might have please feel free to leave a comment or contact me directly.
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