27082019 Tuesday — Trade Plan & Journal - Bear Market Trader
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27082019 Tuesday — Trade Plan & Journal

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27082019 Tuesday — Trade Plan & Journal

27082019 Tues­day — Trade Plan & Journal

Ter­mi­nol­o­gy (par­tial­ly made up by yours truly)

  • PA = Price Action
  • BO = Break Out
  • BD = Break Down
  • CAR = Con­firm As Resistance
  • CAS = Con­firm As Support
  • UKC = Upper Kelt­ner Channel
  • LKC = Low­er Kelt­ner Channel
  • TV = Tick Volume
  • WPP = Week­ly Piv­ot Point
  • DPP = Dai­ly Piv­ot Point
  • DR = Dai­ly Resis­tance (piv­ot)
  • DS = Dai­ly Sup­port (piv­ot)
  • WR = Week­ly Resis­tance (piv­ot)
  • WS = Week­ly Sup­port (piv­ot)
  • HL = High­er Low
  • HH = High­er High
  • LH = Low­er High
  • LL = Low­er Low
  • SD = Stan­dard Deviation
  • VWAP = Vol­ume Weight­ed Aver­age Price
  • AS = Asian Session
  • LS = Lon­don Ses­sion (EU)
  • NY = New York Ses­sion (US)
  • R/R = Risk to Reward
  • M2M = Move to Move
  • T2H = Trade to Hold
  • DT = DownTrend
  • UT = UpTrend
  • R = Range
  • LTF = Low­er Time Frame
  • TTF = Trad­ing Time Frame
  • HTF = High­er Time Frame
  • HHTF = High­er High Time Frame
  • Hypo = HYPOthetical
  • AD = Accu­mu­la­tion Distribution

Health review

  • Week­ly goal
    • Don’t eat after 5pm
  • How do you feel? Have you recent­ly had a break of dai­ly rou­tine (like a trip)? Did you have 2 (or more) nights of insuf­fi­cient sleep?
    • Slept almost 8 hours last night. My left eye is itch­ing which is a bit annoy­ing but noth­ing bad. 
  • How would you rate it (1–5)? 1/2 = don’t trade 3= quar­ter posi­tion 1st 12 2nd 2, 4= half posi­tion = 1st 25 2nd 5, 5= full posi­tion = 1st 50 2nd 10
    • 5= full posi­tion = 1st 50 2nd 10

Mar­ket Prep

Intra­day Tech­ni­cal Analysis

  • HHTF
    • What is the mar­ket narrative?
      • HHTF LKCCAS
  • HTF
    • Lev­els
      • Prev. High 55.161
      • PVAH 54.711
      • PPOC 53.708
      • PVAL 53.341
      • Prev. Low 52.896
    • What is the mar­ket nar­ra­tive and bias?
      • Pos­si­ble HTF R S‑Line form­ing which would war­rant going long at this lev­el short below
  • TTF
    • Does the Asian ses­sion show clues that align with mar­ket narrative?
      • We had a LKCCAS once and are look­ing to make anoth­er one which if formed could show a rever­sal can­dle just below HTF S‑Line and we might be long-biased from then on until proven otherwise.

Trade Idea

  • Hypo 1 Long
    • HTF R S‑Line CAS
    • Entry around 53.85
    • Tar­gets 53.95, 54.45
  • Hypo 2 Short
    • HTF R S‑Line BD
    • Entry around 53.70
    • Tar­gets 53.50, 53.20
  • Hypo 3 Rotational
    • 53.60 — 54.40

My goals for the day (Dai­ly Report Card)

  • Define win­ning
    • I only trade in align­ment with mar­ket nar­ra­tive (10 points)
      • Did I stay open to MGI?
      • Did MGI con­firm my mar­ket narrative?
    • I will use appro­pri­ate siz­ing (10 points)
      • Cut siz­ing in half after 2 con­sec­u­tive stops
      • Take a 10 minute break after 3 con­sec­u­tive stops

Read­ing the Tape

  • What is printing? 
    • 15:35
      • HTF
        • What is the mar­ket narrative?
          • Pos­si­bly a HTF R S‑Line BD F
      • TTF
        • What should have hap­pened in align­ment with MN?
          • TTF R R‑Line BO would con­firm the MN being cor­rect but we’re not there yet
        • What clues are in align­ment with MN?
          • TTF R Over­sold with push back and AD going on how­ev­er 200 slop­ing down and 50 is align­ing with it as well could be anoth­er move down so stay open for what­ev­er happens
      • Bias
        • Long if we have a TTF R R‑Line BO in line with MN
        • Short if we break HTF 2.0 SD as S
      • Oppor­tu­ni­ty (if any)
        • Do you have clarity?
          • Not too much clar­i­ty at the moment so will not take trades until I have more confirmation
        • What set­up am I going to stalk?
          • Unclear ATM
    • 17:05
      • HTF
        • What is the mar­ket narrative?
          • A lot of fakes going on. Tried to break free from HTF R S‑Line but had a lot of push back so much so that it would appear that we might see a BD how­ev­er no fur­ther con­fir­ma­tion. Thus the nar­ra­tive is unclear and I will stay out of the mar­ket until it clears up.
      • TTF
        • What should have hap­pened in align­ment with MN?
          • HTF R S‑Line CAS
            • Should see PA stay above TTF R‑Line which is still the case how­ev­er there is again much AD going on
          • HTF R S‑Line BD
            • We have not moved below TTF R R‑Line so unless we BD from here I remain long-biased
        • What clues are in align­ment with MN?
          • After we broke out from TTF R R‑Line we pulled back and looks like a poten­tial PB to CAS but since the PB was longer than usu­al it might be a pre­lude to a BD from here
            • Thus lack of clar­i­ty and no trades are allowed
      • Bias
        • Unclear ATM
      • Oppor­tu­ni­ty (if any)
        • Do you have clarity?
          • No
        • What set­up am I going to stalk?
          • None ATM
    • 17:35
      • HTF
        • What is the mar­ket narrative?
          • Still the same
    • 18:05
      • HTF
        • What is the mar­ket narrative?
          • We stayed above S‑Line so long-bias
      • TTF
        • What should have hap­pened in align­ment with MN?
          • We stayed above R‑Line after BO and above the new­ly formed S‑Line, long bias
        • What clues are in align­ment with MN?
          • PA above R and S line
      • Bias
        • Long
      • Oppor­tu­ni­ty (if any)
        • Do you have clarity?
          • I believe we had a fake BD and we are going to move up instead
        • What set­up am I going to stalk?
          • TTF S‑Line CAS @HTF50
    • 18:35
      • HTF
        • What is the mar­ket narrative?
          • HTF R S‑Line CAS to UKC
      • TTF
        • What should have hap­pened in align­ment with MN?
          • PA stayed above TTF S‑Line and we pulled back to CAS so long is warranted
        • What clues are in align­ment with MN?
          • PA stay­ing above S‑Line
      • Bias
        • Long until we break S‑Line
      • Oppor­tu­ni­ty (if any)
        • Do you have clarity?
          • HTF S‑Line CAS with PA stay­ing above TTF S‑Line clear­ly gives a long bias so yeah I have some clarity 
        • What set­up am I going to stalk?
    • 20:05
      • HTF
        • What is the mar­ket narrative?
          • PB to 50MACAS
      • TTF
        • What should have hap­pened in align­ment with MN?
          • BD from S‑Line but imme­di­ate push back at 50 to VWAP
        • What clues are in align­ment with MN?
          • Look above
      • Bias
        • Short under TTF VWAP, but it looks like we might push back over it so long above VWAP
      • Oppor­tu­ni­ty (if any)
        • Do you have clarity?
          • If we stay under TTF VWAP we might be look­ing at a poten­tial set­up to BD from HTF S‑Line, oth­er­wise a con­tin­u­a­tion to HTF UKC
        • What set­up am I going to stalk?
          • Unclear ATM

Dai­ly Report Card

Trade Idea

  • Hypo 1 Long
    • HTF R S‑Line CAS
    • Entry around 53.85
    • Tar­gets 53.95, 54.45
  • Hypo 2 Short
    • HTF R S‑Line BD
    • Entry around 53.70
    • Tar­gets 53.50, 53.20
  • Hypo 3 Rotational
    • 53.60 — 54.40




Dai­ly Report Card



Date:8/27/2019



Week­ly GoalAlign with mar­ket narrative



Com­bined Score90



Progress towards week­ly goal (20 points)

10Point 1

10Point 2

20Total



Process Report Card (10 each)

6Ses­sion PECS

10Hypos

10Mar­ket Prep

10Dai­ly review

36Total



Per­for­mance Report Card (10 each)
4/410Setups Iden­ti­fied
3/47Setups tak­en
1/47Erro­neous Entries
0/410Erro­neous Exits

34total






  • Week­ly Goal
    • I only trade in align­ment with mar­ket nar­ra­tive (10 points)
      • Did I stay open to MGI?
        • I did well here. Even though I some­what rec­og­nized the pat­tern I trad­ed off the key levels
      • Did MGI con­firm my mar­ket narrative?
        • Like yes­ter­day we had a lot of fake moves dur­ing the ses­sion. This caught me off guard yes­ter­day but not today. I rec­og­nized the fakes and looked for a key lev­el for PA to bounce off of and trad­ed off this dynam­ic level
    • I will use appro­pri­ate siz­ing (10 points)
      • Use appro­pri­ate siz­ing on trades
        • With a bad day yes­ter­day I trad­ed small­er today to see if I was in align­ment with the mar­ket. If there were more oppor­tu­ni­ties I would have upped my sizing. 
      • Cut siz­ing in half after 2 con­sec­u­tive stops and take a 10 minute break after 3 con­sec­u­tive stops
        • There was no need
  • Review
Trade IdeaPos.Entry ErrorsExit ErrorsType TradeSizeRea­son to coverErrorCom­ments
1110HTF R S‑Line CAS20SOStopped OutFOMOentered before hav­ing con­fir­ma­tion on my setup
1200HTF R S‑Line CAS20TPScalp--
1300HTF R S‑Line CAS20TPScalp--
  • How accu­rate was my assess­ment of mar­ket context?
    • Hypo 1 — 100%
      • Did well here even
    • Real-time analy­sis
      • 100%
  • How well did I man­age my phys­i­cal, emo­tion­al and cog­ni­tive states?
    • P: Felt a bit tired dur­ing the ses­sion even though I slept enough
    • E: Did well here
    • CS: Because I was feel­ing a bit tired I wasn’t a 100% in con­cen­tra­tion towards the end but did my best. 
  • What’s one thing you learned today?
    • Humil­i­ty and patience are key (includ­ed this in my list of mantras as part of meditation)
  • Positive(s)
    • Stayed patient and most­ly trad­ed off MGI
    • After mak­ing a mis­take on the first trade I went back to trad­ing off MGI and did well here. 
  • Negative(s)
    • First trade (even though the mar­ket went in my favor after get­ting stopped out) was wrong because I got in out of FOMO and should have wait­ed for a bet­ter R/R at my key lev­el. At this time how­ev­er I wasn’t too clear about the pat­tern and there­fore should not have trad­ed anyway. 
    • There was one more set­up I could have tak­en but didn’t. It was towards the end of the ses­sion and I had trou­ble focusing. 

Feed­back?

Any ques­tions or feed­back you might have please feel free to leave a com­ment or con­tact me directly. 

T3chAddict
t3chaddict@bearmarkettrader.com

Day trader. Tech geek. Sim Racing Enthusiast.

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