Mean Reversion, Sustained Auction (Bad Trading Idea)
#fintwit #orderflow #daytrading #tradingreview #priceaction #chartreview #DAX #DE30 #DE30Cash
- Result
- -1R
- Open Sentiment
- 0.98xASR Below Value, Outside Range
- Large Imbalance
- Asia traded sideways but predominantly higher
- IBR
- 0.47xASR IBR
- Trend
- Strong DT
- H4: Down
- D1: Down
- W1: Down
- Hypo
- 1
- Long
- Sustained Auction
- Attempted Setup
- Early entry reversal to sustained auction
- Entry Technique
- Re-test of newly formed demand (Bull Engulf)
- SL placement
- Standard SL (5500)
- TPO period for Entry
- D TPO
- Trade Duration
- 0h17m
- Long/Short
- Long
- Leading Narrative
- Possible developing a H4 Inside Up
- D1 Inverted Hammer
- Open sentiment
- Possible Friday profit-taking
Actual Development
- D TPO closed down as a Bear Engulf taking out SL ‑1R
Good points
- Early entry to monitor for an extension to confirm the sustained auction. This did not come.
Bad Points
- For a mean reversion trade I need a break of IB
- Going long in a strong DT after D1 formed an inverted hammer rejecting D1 QHi and price broke the range to the downside
- Relying too much on inverse correlation with Gold
Next Day Analysis
- Target hit?
- No, ‑1R
- Time-based Exit?
- -1R
- Overlap Noise?
- -1R
- End of Day?
- -1R
- Highest R multiple?
- 0.2R
TAGS: Below Value, Outside Range, Large Imbalance, Trend is Down 3/3, Prev. Day Exceeded ADR,
Premarket prep on the day:
Daily Report Card: