Play: Value Acceptance, Sustained Auction T1 & T2
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- Result
- 1.2R
- 2nd trade: 0.5R
- Open Sentiment
- 0.00xASR Above Value, Within Range
- Ambiguous open
- Moderate Imbalance
- Asia extended and traded lower
- IBR
- 0.43xASR Normal IBR, accepted value during A, formed a base during B TPO
- Trend
- Trend is Down 2/3
- H4: Up
- D1: Down
- W1: Down
- Hypo
- 1
- Short
- Value Acceptance, possible continuation after rotation
- 2nd trade: same hypo 1 narrative
- Attempted Setup
- Sustained Auction
- Entry Technique
- Break of IB, pullback to test IB low
- 2nd trade: low initiative sustained auction, pop to the downside making a LL, M5 closing as a Bear Engulf
- SL placement
- Standard SL (6000)
- 2nd trade: Standard SL (6000)
- TPO period for Entry
- C TPO
- 2nd trade: G TPO
- Trade Duration
- 1h54m
- 2nd trade: 0h1m
- Long/Short
- Short
- Leading Narrative
- Open Sentiment and value acceptance
- Asia Extended and closed down, possible unidirectional day coming from D1 QHi in a downtrend
- H4 Bear Engulf at D1 QHi and developing continuation
- Trend is Down 2/3
- 2nd entry: price rotated through value indicating a possible further continuation lower, price pulled back to IB low and I went short for a 2nd time.
T1 Exit
T2 Exit
Actual Development
- C closed below IB, D formed a Hammer, E and F pulled back inching higher to IB low without making a LL but not closing within IB, technically sustaining the auction
Good points
- Understanding the narrative
- Getting in on a 2nd trade for the same setup
Bad Points
- Fumbled FX Synergy on he first trade again. I should’ve been stalking the trade a bit earlier but I had just finished writing my preps.
- Could’ve let the 2nd trade go on longer
Next Day Analysis
- Target hit?
- Yes, 1.2R
- 2nd trade: No, 0.5R
- Time-based Exit?
- 0.3R
- 2nd trade: 0.1R
- Overlap Noise?
- 0.5R
- 2nd trade: 0.3R
- End of Day?
- 0.7R
- 2nd trade: 0.5R
- Highest R multiple?
- 1.9R
- 2nd trade: 1.7R
TAGS: Above Value, Within Range, Moderate Imbalance, Ambiguous Open, Trend is Down 2/3,
Premarket prep on the day:
Daily Report Card: