03 Nov 20211103 Premarket Prep Gold
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This is my premarket prep for today’s European session for GOLD. This prep builds off of my weekly trade plan I made here:
The purpose of a premarket prep is to find setups within my weekly trade plan bias
Compared against Weekly Trading Plan
- Price trading in last month’s body
- Price trading below last week’s body but still within range
- Price trading mid W1 swing coming from QLo rejection
Non-conjecture observations of the market
- Price action
- D1 rejection of D1 QHi. No continuation to D1 Bullish Inside Bar.
- Price trading at H4 QLo
- Trend: H4 Down, D1 Up, W1 Up
- Prevailing trend: Trend is UP 2/3
- Market Profile
- Value created above the previous but trading within overall range
- Daily Range
- ADR: 19327
- ASR: 12751
- 319
- ASR Short: 6632
- 166 (too tight)
- Day
- Yesterday’s High 1796.290
- Yesterday’s Low 1786.330
Sentiment
- LN open
- Below Value, Outside Range
- Open distance to value
- 0.71xASR
- Narrative
- Moderate to Large Imbalance. Uptrend 2/3. Price trading at H4 QLo and within D1 demand (coinciding with D1 VWAP) at old H4-C‑D 1781.836. D1 supply within value.
- Clarity (1–5, 5 being best)
- 2
- Hypo 1
- Sustained Auction Up
- Hypo 2
- Return to Value, Auction Fade Short, variation to Hypo 1
- Hypo 3
- Sustained Auction Down (possible continuation to yesterday’s Inside bar)
Additional notes
- Tomorrow Fed Interest Rate Decision, non-farm on Friday
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
- MN-C‑S 1813.621
- W1-C‑S 1807.771
- D1-C‑S 1793.804
ZOIs for Possible Long
- H4-C‑D 1781.836 OLD
- D1-C‑D 1764.198
Mindful Trading (lack of sleep?)
- Feeling okay
Focus Points for trading development
- Monthly Goals
- No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
- Total of 20 trades by the end of the month, preferably 2 a day (not in the same product at the same time)
- No early exits, either hit SL or 2R target
- Use SL scaling in case the profit target for the setup doesn’t provide 2R for example for FA or VAA setups
- Process
- Keep trade review comments short
- Risk Management
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING
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