28 Oct 20211028 Premarket Prep DAX
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This is my premarket prep for today’s European session for DAX. This prep builds off of my weekly trade plan I made here:
The purpose of a premarket prep is to find setups within my weekly trade plan bias
Compared against Weekly Trading Plan
- Last week closed as a possible Base at a previous W1 Supply Base level but with nearby MN C‑sup
- Price is trading above last week’s body and made a HH
- Price almost tested originating level W1-C‑S 15823.56
Non-conjecture observations of the market
- Price action
- D1 Inside Bar created (not closing below 50% mark) within D1 Supply at D1 UKC
- Price trading within D1 QHi
- H4 pulling back to H4 VWAP in UT after nearly taking out D1/W1 supply
- Trend: H4 Up, D1 Up, W1 Up
- Prevailing trend: Trend is UP 3/3 (strong)
- Market Profile
- Value created at the low of the previous still overlapping
- Daily Range
- ADR: 12064
- ASR: 10754
- 2700
- ASR Short: 9053
- 2263 (2500 min. preferably)
- Day
- Yesterday’s High 15761.70
- Yesterday’s Low 15667.70
Sentiment
- LN open
- Below Value, Outside Range
- Open distance to value
- 0.27xASR
- Narrative
- Moderate to Large Imbalance. H4 reacting with a continued DBD at D1 Supply hitting a H4 base demand level. Although there is a strong uptrend there may be a continuation down.
- Clarity (1–5, 5 being best)
- 4
- Hypo 1
- Return to Value, Value Edge Reversal short, Failed Auction Short
- Hypo 2
- Value Acceptance (value quite tight), possible sustained auction up
- Hypo 3
- Sustained Auction Down
- Hypo 4
- Auction Fade Long, variation to Hypo 1 and 3
Additional notes
- N.A.
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
- Not favored in equities
- W1-C‑S 15823.56
- D1-C‑S 15695.85
- MN-C‑S 15561.74
ZOIs for Possible Long
- D1-C‑D 15499.30
- W1-C‑D 15290.73
Mindful Trading (lack of sleep?)
- Feeling Okay
Focus Points for trading development
- Monthly Goals
- No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
- Total of 20 trades by the end of the month, preferably 2 a day (not in the same product at the same time)
- No early exits, either hit SL or 2R target
- Use SL scaling in case the profit target for the setup doesn’t provide 2R for example for FA or VAA setups
- Process
- Keep trade review comments short
- Risk Management
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING
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