22 Sep 20210922 Premarket Prep Gold
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This is my premarket prep for today’s European session for GOLD. This prep builds off of my weekly trade plan I made here:
The purpose of a premarket prep is to find setups within my weekly trade plan bias
Compared against Weekly Trading Plan
- Price trading within last week’s body after having made a LL below its range bouncing off W1 QLo
Non-conjecture observations of the market
- Price action
- D1 Morning Star and continuation higher
- H4 Slowdown at H4 50MA in DT trading mid swing after H4 QLo rejection
- Trend: H4 , D1 Down, W1 Up
- Prevailing trend: Trend is Down 2/3
- Market Profile
- Wide Value was created above the previous
- Daily Range
- ADR: 23833
- ASR: 14563
- 364
- Day
- Yesterday’s High 1781.630
- Yesterday’s Low 1757.870
Sentiment
- LN open
- Above Value, Outside Range
- Open distance to value
- 0..58xASR
- Narrative
- Moderate to Large Imbalance. Trend is down 2/3. Premarket traded slightly higher but failed to take out supply. IB traded down 0.22.
- Clarity (1–5, 5 being best)
- 4
- Hypo 1
- Mean Reversion, Sustained Auction Down,
- Hypo 2
- Return to Value, VAH reversal long,
- Hypo 3
- Auction Fade Long, variation to hypo 1 (very risky if value gets accepted)
Additional notes
- Fed rate decision tomorrow
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
- D1-C‑S 1794.187
ZOIs for Possible Long
- MN-C‑D 1739.674
Mindful Trading (lack of sleep?)
- Feeling okay
Focus Points for trading development
- Monthly Goals
- No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
- Total of 20 trades by the end of the month, preferably 2 a day (not in the same product at the same time)
- Weekly Goal
- Use SL scaling in case the profit target for the setup doesn’t provide 2R for example for FA or VAA setups
- No early exits, either hit SL or 2R target, latest cut-off 1:30 London time
- Risk Management
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING
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