09 Sep 20210909 Premarket Prep Gold
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This is my premarket prep for today’s European session for GOLD. This prep builds off of my weekly trade plan I made here:
The purpose of a premarket prep is to find setups within my weekly trade plan bias
Compared against Weekly Trading Plan
- Price trading below last month’s DragonFly Doji but within range
- Price trading below last week’s body and range
Non-conjecture observations of the market
- Price action
- Slight continuation to the D1 Three Outside Down trading at D1-C‑D 1781.384 (coinciding with W1 base demand level) closing below D1 QHi
- H4 Phase 4 with some slow after arriving at H4 QLo, currently trading within QLo.
- Trend: H4 Down, D1 Up, W1 Up
- Prevailing trend: Trend is UP 2/3
- Market Profile
- Values in DT, value created below previous bracketing range
- Daily Range
- ADR: 17890
- ASR: 10769
- 2700
- Day
- Yesterday’s High 1802.080
- Yesterday’s Low 1782.280
Sentiment
- LN open
- Below Value, Outside Range
- Open distance to value
- 0.79xASR
- Narrative
- Moderate to Large imbalance. Price has not rejected H4 QLo and yesterday traded down. Relative proximity to Value edge make a return to value short play more preferred especially with H4-C‑S 1795.605 at VAL.
- Clarity (1–5, 5 being best)
- 3
- Hypo 1
- Return to Value, Value edge reversal or Failed Auction Short
- Hypo 2
- Auction Fade Short
- Hypo 3
- Sustained Auction Long
Additional notes
- ECB Interest Rate decision today at 19:45
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
- W1-C‑S 1807.592
- H4-C‑S 1795.605
ZOIs for Possible Long
- D1-C‑D 1781.384
Mindful Trading (lack of sleep?)
- Feeling okay
Focus Points for trading development
- Monthly Goals
- No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
- Total of 20 trades by the end of the month, preferably 2 a day (not in the same product at the same time)
- Weekly Goal
- Use SL scaling in case the profit target for the setup doesn’t provide 2R for example for FA or VAA setups
- No early exits, either hit SL or 2R target, latest cut-off 1:30 London time
- Risk Management
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING
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