20 Aug 20210819 Trade Review DAX
Play: Auction Fade
#fintwit #orderflow #daytrading #tradingreview #priceaction #chartreview #DAX #DE30 #DE30Cash
Market Narrative
Price had sustained auction as per Hypo 1 then come 2nd DTTZ there was a reversal indicating a potential Auction Fade.
Price had opened 1.25xASR Below Value, Outside Range, Large Imbalance, so a mean reversion would be favored. As well as upwards bias in Equities.
What hypo was it?
Hypo 2
Mean Reversion, Auction Fade Long, variation to Hypo 1,
How was the Entry?
Entry was off the M15 Three Outside Up. Then I waited to see what M5 was doing and it started consolidating. The expectancy was if there was no break lower from LTF supply that there would be a continuation to the M15 formation as it is more a momentum formation ie a pullback to newly formed demand would be an exit signal.
I then monitored for a Single Print Fade of C TPO to confirm the direction.
How was the SL placement and sizing?
Using the M5 consolidation I was able to use a standard sizing. The market conditions did not allow for a tighter SL placement. This was the best I could do.
How was the profit target?
1.5R at IB low
How was the Exit?
WHen price came close to IB low I took 1R. There were 2 single prints left to IB low. Although I used altered TPO sizing so this could have gone a bit longer actually as was shown alter on. Price actually hit the low taking 1.5R.
What would a price action-based exit have done for the trade?
1.5R
What would a time-based exit have done for the trade?
1.5R due to price action overruling this one otherwise a stop out at ‑1R
What did I do well?
I did well to understand the narrative and take the setup. It is a bit tricky to get in on a M5 consolidation at a supply level.
What could I have done better?
I could have waited for IB low to actually get hit before taking profits.
Observations
N.A.
Missed Opportunity
N.A.
TAGS: Below Value, Outside Range, Large Imbalance, Trend is UP 2/3,
Premarket prep on the day
Daily Report Card on the day
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