Play: Reversal — Return to Value
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Market Narrative
There was a continuation to D1 Phase 2 taking out D1/W1 Supply. Some slowdown outside of RTH. Open 0.22xASR above value, within range, moderate imbalance. Some LTF demand at VAH.
How was the Entry?
Entry was okay. I could have jumped in on the weak-ish M15 Bull Engulf but decided to wait for a little more confirmation. When price continued higher I waited for a slight pullback and went long.
How was the SL placement and sizing?
I could have scaled my SL better as this was placed on a standard size too far below IB. This could have been tighter right below IB. This way I would have had a better R‑multiple target as well.
How was the profit target?
Expecting a transition to a sustained auction up the profit target would have been okay.
How was the Exit?
Price gapped up due to liquidity issues which made me squirm a little bit. I got hesitant to keep the trade on longer and took 1R when it hit.
What would a price action-based exit have done for the trade?
Price would have hit 2R with relative ease before rolling over.
What would a time-based exit have done for the trade?
1.8R, 1.45 at overlap noise cut-off
What did I do well?
I did well to understand the narrative and go long at a pullback to the LTF demand at VAH reversal from within IB before waiting for an IB extension.
What could I have done better?
I could have let the trade go on longer but with summertime trading and lack of confidence in the liquidity gap I think I did fine here.
Observations
Low liquidity can cause intrasession gaps.
Missed Opportunity
N.A.
TAGS: Trend is UP 3/3, Above Value, Within Range, moderate imbalance,
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