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This is my premarket prep for today’s European session for GOLD. This prep builds off of my weekly trade plan I made here:
The purpose of a premarket prep is to find setups within my weekly trade plan bias
Compared against Weekly Trading Plan
- W1 Three Outside Down with continuation down arriving at W1-C‑D 1774.420
Non-conjecture observations of the market
- Price action
- D1 Phase 4 arriving at D1/W1 demand, extended below VWAP in UT
- H4 Bull Engulf formed at W1-C‑D 1774.420
- Trend: H4 Down, D1 Down, W1 Up
- Prevailing trend: Trend is DOWN 2/3
- Market Profile
- Value created extended below the bracketing range
- Daily Range
- ADR: 32132
- ASR: 16976
- 424
- Day
- Yesterday’s High 1825.210
- Yesterday’s Low 1767.180
Sentiment
- LN open
- Below Value, Within Range
- Open distance to value
- 0.58xASR
- Narrative
- Moderate Imbalance. H4 Bull Engulf and base formed at W1-C‑D 1774.420. No arrival at D1/W1 QLo. Trend is down 2/3 but arrived at W1/D1 demand.
- Clarity (1–5, 5 being best)
- 4
- Hypo 1
- Sustained Auction Down
- Hypo 2
- Value Acceptance, sustained auction up, H4-C‑S 1818.254 BASE at VAH
- Hypo 3
- Failed Auction Short, probe of value
- Hypo 4
- Auction Fade long, after Hypo 1
- Hypo 5
- Auction Fade Short, after hypo 2
- Hypo 6
- Failed Auction Long
Additional notes
- Capital preservation rule in effect
ZOIs for Possible Shorts
- H4-C‑S 1818.254 BASE
ZOIs for Possible Long
- W1-C‑D 1774.420
Mindful Trading (lack of sleep?)
- Feeling okay
Focus Points for trading development
- Monthly Goals
- No momentum trades on Non-Farm Fridays
- Total of 13 trades by the end of the month
- Weekly Goal
- Min. 3 times working out at home + mandatory cardio
- Risk Management
- Without forcing a trade: aim to take 1 trade a day, if possible 2.
- Capital Preservation during drawdown allows for 1R profit-taking
- 2 consecutive days of lack of sleep = NO TRADING